Die Wettquotenschule

Daniel Merida Aguilar v Alex Michelsen

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-05 22:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Daniel Merida Aguilar (Heim)

Prognose 28.76%3.48faire Quote
EV +3.54%
Vorteil +0.984%
Kelly +1.36%
Wachstum +0.048%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.53%28.67%28.57%30.18%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.103.323.353.6032.26%30.11%29.85%27.78%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Alex Michelsen (Auswärts)

Prognose 71.24%1.40faire Quote
EV -3.12%
Vorteil -2.29%
Kelly -8.66%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.36

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
69.82%71.33%71.43%73.47%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.271.331.331.3678.74%75.27%75.19%73.53%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +3.54%E +0.984%K +1.36%G +0.048%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -7.39%E -5.69%K -24.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 05:50
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.667%E +0.191%K +0.267%G +0.002%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 22:16
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.667%E +0.191%K +0.267%G +0.002%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 20:50
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.667%E +0.191%K +0.267%G +0.002%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.68%E -5.10%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 20:50
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.667%E +0.191%K +0.267%G +0.002%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.39%E -5.69%K -24.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 18:50
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.667%E +0.191%K +0.267%G +0.002%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.39%E -5.69%K -24.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 18:50
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.667%E +0.191%K +0.267%G +0.002%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.39%E -5.69%K -24.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 18:50
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.667%E +0.191%K +0.267%G +0.002%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.39%E -5.69%K -24.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 19:00
Coolbet3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -0.771%E -0.223%K -0.315%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 20:48
Pinnacle3.41I 29.33%NM 28.51%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.49%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 22:10
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.21%E -0.650%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 20:05
GTbets3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.21%E -0.650%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 22:10
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.21%E -0.650%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.39%E -5.69%K -24.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 20:50
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.21%E -0.650%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.53%E -7.50%K -35.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 12:05
1xBet3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -2.78%E -0.824%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.31%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 22:10
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 18:45
LeoVegas3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:05
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:05
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:05
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:04
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:05
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:05
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:05
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:05
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:05
Bally Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:05
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:04
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:05
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:05
Unibet (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:50
Unibet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 22:15
theScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 20:50
Fanatics3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 20:50
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-05 12:10
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 22:10
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 20:50
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.68%E -5.10%K -21.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 20:50
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 22:05
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 22:05
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 11:05
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 11:00
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 22:09
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 22:20
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 21:59
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 11:55
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 20:05
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 22:10
Fliff3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.68%E -5.10%K -21.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 22:20
DraftKings3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -7.39%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 11:50
Betclic (FR)3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -7.39%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:58
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 22:20
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 12:10
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 11:54
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 21:54
Ladbrokes (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 11:54
Neds3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 11:55
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.54%E -3.39%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 22:05
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 21:54
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 15:50
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-03-05 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-03-05 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-03-05 22:20
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-03-05 22:05
Novig3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%2.5%2026-03-05 22:10