Школа коэффициентовЯзык:Русский
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Alex Michelsen
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Хозяева)
Прогноз 28.76%3.48справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.54%
Преимущество +0.984%
Kelly +1.36%
Рост +0.048%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.60
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.53%28.67%28.57%30.18%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.323.353.6032.26%30.11%29.85%27.78%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Alex Michelsen (Гости)
Прогноз 71.24%1.40справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.12%
Преимущество -2.29%
Kelly -8.66%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.36
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
69.82%71.33%71.43%73.47%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.271.331.331.3678.74%75.27%75.19%73.53%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (61 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +3.54%E +0.984%K +1.36%G +0.048% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -7.39%E -5.69%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 05:50 |
| Bovada | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.667%E +0.191%K +0.267%G +0.002% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 22:16 |
| FanDuel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.667%E +0.191%K +0.267%G +0.002% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 20:50 |
| SportsBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.667%E +0.191%K +0.267%G +0.002% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.68%E -5.10%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 20:50 |
| 888sport | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.667%E +0.191%K +0.267%G +0.002% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.39%E -5.69%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.667%E +0.191%K +0.267%G +0.002% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.39%E -5.69%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.667%E +0.191%K +0.267%G +0.002% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.39%E -5.69%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 18:50 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.667%E +0.191%K +0.267%G +0.002% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.39%E -5.69%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 19:00 |
| Coolbet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -0.771%E -0.223%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 20:48 |
| Pinnacle | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.51%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.49%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-05 22:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.21%E -0.650%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 20:05 |
| GTbets | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.21%E -0.650%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 22:10 |
| Paddy Power | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.21%E -0.650%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.39%E -5.69%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 20:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.21%E -0.650%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.53%E -7.50%K -35.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 12:05 |
| 1xBet | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -2.78%E -0.824%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.31%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 22:10 |
| Bet Right | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 18:45 |
| LeoVegas | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:05 |
| BetRivers | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:05 |
| TABtouch | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:04 |
| Unibet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:05 |
| Grosvenor | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:05 |
| Casumo | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:05 |
| Bally Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:05 |
| betPARX | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 22:15 |
| theScore Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 20:50 |
| Fanatics | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 20:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 12:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 22:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 20:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.68%E -5.10%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 20:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| NordicBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 11:05 |
| Betsson | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 11:00 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 22:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 22:20 |
| BetUS | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 21:59 |
| BetMGM | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 20:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 22:10 |
| Fliff | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.68%E -5.10%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 22:20 |
| DraftKings | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -7.39%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -7.39%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:58 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 22:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 12:10 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 11:54 |
| Everygame | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 21:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 11:54 |
| Neds | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 11:55 |
| TAB | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.54%E -3.39%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| Bet Victor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 21:54 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 15:50 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-03-05 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-05 22:20 |
| Matchbook | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| Novig | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-03-05 22:10 |