Language:English
Chun-Hsin Tseng v Sebastian Baez
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chun-Hsin Tseng (Local)
Prediction 29.03%3.44fair odd
EV +7.43%
Edge +2.01%
Kelly +2.75%
Growth +0.204%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.85%28.90%29.04%31.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.293.303.7033.90%30.41%30.30%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sebastian Baez (Visit)
Prediction 70.97%1.41fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -7.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.76%71.10%70.96%74.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.321.321.3780.00%75.63%75.76%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chun-Hsin Tseng (Local): 29.03%; Sebastian Baez (Visit): 70.97%. For Chun-Hsin Tseng (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.43%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +7.43%E +2.01%K +2.75%G +0.204% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -8.46%E -6.55%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +5.98%E +1.64%K +2.26%G +0.135% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -9.16%E -7.16%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +1.62%E +0.463%K +0.649%G +0.011% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -7.04%E -5.37%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 21:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.62%E +0.463%K +0.649%G +0.011% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +1.62%E +0.463%K +0.649%G +0.011% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.46%E -6.55%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV +1.62%E +0.463%K +0.649%G +0.011% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -11.29%E -9.03%K -45.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -0.701%E -0.205%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 21:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 21:17 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -8.46%E -6.55%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -2.73%E -0.816%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.04%E -5.37%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 20:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -2.73%E -0.816%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -2.73%E -0.816%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -2.73%E -0.816%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 21:08 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.04%E -5.37%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -8.46%E -6.55%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -9.16%E -7.16%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.20%E -3.11%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 21:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.91%E -3.66%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 21:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -9.16%E -7.16%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.91%E -3.66%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 20:58 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 21:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -8.46%E -6.55%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 21:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -8.54%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -2.78%E -2.03%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.54%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.54%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.54%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 21:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.20%E -3.11%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.20%E -3.11%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.91%E -3.66%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 21:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-05 21:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -14.35%E -4.86%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -4.91%E -3.66%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| Novig◎ | 3.61I 27.70%NM 27.22% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.78% | 1.8% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19% | 3.2% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |