Die Wettquotenschule

Chun-Hsin Tseng v Sebastian Baez

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-05 21:39 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

60 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Chun-Hsin Tseng (Heim)

Prognose 29.03%3.44faire Quote
EV +7.43%
Vorteil +2.01%
Kelly +2.75%
Wachstum +0.204%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.85%28.90%29.04%31.24%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.953.293.303.7033.90%30.41%30.30%27.03%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Sebastian Baez (Auswärts)

Prognose 70.97%1.41faire Quote
EV -2.78%
Vorteil -2.03%
Kelly -7.51%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.37

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
68.76%71.10%70.96%74.15%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.251.321.321.3780.00%75.63%75.76%72.99%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +7.43%E +2.01%K +2.75%G +0.204%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -8.46%E -6.55%K -29.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 21:35
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +5.98%E +1.64%K +2.26%G +0.135%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -9.16%E -7.16%K -32.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 21:35
Hard Rock Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +1.62%E +0.463%K +0.649%G +0.011%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -7.04%E -5.37%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 21:34
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.62%E +0.463%K +0.649%G +0.011%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 21:35
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +1.62%E +0.463%K +0.649%G +0.011%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.46%E -6.55%K -29.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 21:35
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV +1.62%E +0.463%K +0.649%G +0.011%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -11.29%E -9.03%K -45.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-05 21:35
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 21:35
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 21:35
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 21:35
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 21:35
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 21:35
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 21:35
GTbets3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -0.701%E -0.205%K -0.290%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:29
Pinnacle3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 21:10
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 21:17
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 21:30
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 21:10
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 21:10
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 21:20
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 21:10
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -8.46%E -6.55%K -29.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 21:35
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -2.73%E -0.816%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.04%E -5.37%K -22.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 20:59
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -2.73%E -0.816%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 21:35
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -2.73%E -0.816%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 21:35
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -2.73%E -0.816%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 21:35
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 21:08
NetBet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 21:20
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.04%E -5.37%K -22.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 21:35
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 21:35
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -8.46%E -6.55%K -29.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -9.16%E -7.16%K -32.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 21:35
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 21:10
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 21:10
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.20%E -3.11%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 21:34
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.91%E -3.66%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 21:25
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 21:10
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 21:35
Fliff3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -9.16%E -7.16%K -32.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 21:35
Codere (IT)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.91%E -3.66%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 21:10
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 21:10
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 20:58
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 21:35
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 21:34
Betclic (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -8.46%E -6.55%K -29.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-05 21:35
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 21:24
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -8.54%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -2.78%E -2.03%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 21:35
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.54%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.54%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 21:10
Neds3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.54%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 21:10
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 21:29
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.20%E -3.11%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 21:35
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.20%E -3.11%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 21:35
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.91%E -3.66%K -14.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 21:10
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 21:34
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 21:35
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 21:35
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 21:35
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 21:34
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -14.35%E -4.86%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -4.91%E -3.66%K -14.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 21:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-03-05 21:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-03-05 21:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-03-05 21:30
Novig3.61I 27.70%NM 27.22%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.78%1.8%2026-03-05 21:35
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%3.2%2026-03-05 21:35
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%4.7%2026-03-05 21:35