Idioma:Español
Chun-Hsin Tseng v Sebastian Baez
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chun-Hsin Tseng (Local)
Predicción 29.03%3.44momio equitativo
EV +7.43%
Ventaja +2.01%
Kelly +2.75%
Crecimiento +0.204%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.85%28.90%29.04%31.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.953.293.303.7033.90%30.41%30.30%27.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Sebastian Baez (Visitante)
Predicción 70.97%1.41momio equitativo
EV -2.78%
Ventaja -2.03%
Kelly -7.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.76%71.10%70.96%74.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.251.321.321.3780.00%75.63%75.76%72.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Chun-Hsin Tseng (Local): 29.03%; Sebastian Baez (Visitante): 70.97%. Para Chun-Hsin Tseng (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.44. 12 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.70, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.43%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +7.43%E +2.01%K +2.75%G +0.204% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -8.46%E -6.55%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +5.98%E +1.64%K +2.26%G +0.135% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -9.16%E -7.16%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +1.62%E +0.463%K +0.649%G +0.011% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -7.04%E -5.37%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 21:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.62%E +0.463%K +0.649%G +0.011% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +1.62%E +0.463%K +0.649%G +0.011% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.46%E -6.55%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV +1.62%E +0.463%K +0.649%G +0.011% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -11.29%E -9.03%K -45.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -0.701%E -0.205%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 21:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 21:17 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -8.46%E -6.55%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -2.73%E -0.816%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.04%E -5.37%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 20:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -2.73%E -0.816%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -2.73%E -0.816%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -2.73%E -0.816%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 21:08 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.04%E -5.37%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -8.46%E -6.55%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -9.16%E -7.16%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.20%E -3.11%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 21:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.91%E -3.66%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 21:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -9.16%E -7.16%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.91%E -3.66%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 20:58 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 21:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -8.46%E -6.55%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 21:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -8.54%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -2.78%E -2.03%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.54%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.54%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.54%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 21:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.20%E -3.11%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.20%E -3.11%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.91%E -3.66%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 21:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-05 21:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -14.35%E -4.86%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -4.91%E -3.66%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| Novig◎ | 3.61I 27.70%NM 27.22% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.78% | 1.8% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19% | 3.2% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |