مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chun-Hsin Tseng v Sebastian Baez

البداية: 2026-03-05 21:39 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chun-Hsin Tseng (المضيف)

التنبؤ 29.03%3.44السعر العادل
EV +7.43%
الأفضلية +2.01%
Kelly +2.75%
النمو +0.204%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.85%28.90%29.04%31.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.953.293.303.7033.90%30.41%30.30%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sebastian Baez (الضيف)

التنبؤ 70.97%1.41السعر العادل
EV -2.78%
الأفضلية -2.03%
Kelly -7.51%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.37

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
68.76%71.10%70.96%74.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.251.321.321.3780.00%75.63%75.76%72.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +7.43%E +2.01%K +2.75%G +0.204%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -8.46%E -6.55%K -29.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 21:35
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +5.98%E +1.64%K +2.26%G +0.135%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -9.16%E -7.16%K -32.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 21:35
Hard Rock Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +1.62%E +0.463%K +0.649%G +0.011%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -7.04%E -5.37%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 21:34
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.62%E +0.463%K +0.649%G +0.011%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 21:35
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +1.62%E +0.463%K +0.649%G +0.011%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.46%E -6.55%K -29.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 21:35
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV +1.62%E +0.463%K +0.649%G +0.011%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -11.29%E -9.03%K -45.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-05 21:35
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 21:35
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 21:35
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 21:35
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 21:35
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 21:35
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 21:35
GTbets3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -0.701%E -0.205%K -0.290%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:29
Pinnacle3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 21:10
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 21:17
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 21:30
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 21:10
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 21:10
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 21:20
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 21:10
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -8.46%E -6.55%K -29.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 21:35
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -2.73%E -0.816%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.04%E -5.37%K -22.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 20:59
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -2.73%E -0.816%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 21:35
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -2.73%E -0.816%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 21:35
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -2.73%E -0.816%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 21:35
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 21:08
NetBet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 21:20
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.04%E -5.37%K -22.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 21:35
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 21:35
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -8.46%E -6.55%K -29.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -9.16%E -7.16%K -32.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 21:35
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 21:10
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 21:10
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.20%E -3.11%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 21:34
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.91%E -3.66%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 21:25
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 21:10
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 21:35
Fliff3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -9.16%E -7.16%K -32.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 21:35
Codere (IT)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.91%E -3.66%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 21:10
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 21:10
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 20:58
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 21:35
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 21:34
Betclic (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -8.46%E -6.55%K -29.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-05 21:35
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 21:24
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -8.54%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -2.78%E -2.03%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 21:35
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.54%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.54%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 21:10
Neds3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.54%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 21:10
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 21:29
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.20%E -3.11%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 21:35
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.20%E -3.11%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 21:35
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.91%E -3.66%K -14.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 21:10
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 21:34
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 21:35
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 21:35
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 21:35
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 21:34
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -14.35%E -4.86%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -4.91%E -3.66%K -14.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 21:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-03-05 21:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-03-05 21:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-03-05 21:30
Novig3.61I 27.70%NM 27.22%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.78%1.8%2026-03-05 21:35
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%3.2%2026-03-05 21:35
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%4.7%2026-03-05 21:35