A Escola das Odds

Chun-Hsin Tseng v Sebastian Baez

Início: 2026-03-05 21:39 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Chun-Hsin Tseng (Local)

Previsão 29.03%3.44odd justa
EV +7.43%
Vantagem +2.01%
Kelly +2.75%
Crescimento +0.204%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.85%28.90%29.04%31.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.953.293.303.7033.90%30.41%30.30%27.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sebastian Baez (Visitante)

Previsão 70.97%1.41odd justa
EV -2.78%
Vantagem -2.03%
Kelly -7.51%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.76%71.10%70.96%74.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.251.321.321.3780.00%75.63%75.76%72.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +7.43%E +2.01%K +2.75%G +0.204%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -8.46%E -6.55%K -29.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 21:35
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +5.98%E +1.64%K +2.26%G +0.135%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -9.16%E -7.16%K -32.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 21:35
Hard Rock Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +1.62%E +0.463%K +0.649%G +0.011%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -7.04%E -5.37%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 21:34
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.62%E +0.463%K +0.649%G +0.011%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 21:35
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +1.62%E +0.463%K +0.649%G +0.011%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.46%E -6.55%K -29.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 21:35
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV +1.62%E +0.463%K +0.649%G +0.011%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -11.29%E -9.03%K -45.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-05 21:35
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 21:35
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 21:35
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 21:35
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 21:35
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 21:35
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 21:35
GTbets3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -0.701%E -0.205%K -0.290%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:29
Pinnacle3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 21:10
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 21:17
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 21:30
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 21:10
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 21:10
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 21:20
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 21:10
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -8.46%E -6.55%K -29.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 21:35
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -2.73%E -0.816%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.04%E -5.37%K -22.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 20:59
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -2.73%E -0.816%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 21:35
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -2.73%E -0.816%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 21:35
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -2.73%E -0.816%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 21:35
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 21:08
NetBet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 21:20
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.04%E -5.37%K -22.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 21:35
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 21:35
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -8.46%E -6.55%K -29.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -9.16%E -7.16%K -32.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 21:35
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 21:10
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 21:10
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.20%E -3.11%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 21:34
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.91%E -3.66%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 21:25
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 21:10
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 21:35
Fliff3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -9.16%E -7.16%K -32.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 21:35
Codere (IT)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.91%E -3.66%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 21:10
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 21:10
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 20:58
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 21:35
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 21:34
Betclic (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -8.46%E -6.55%K -29.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-05 21:35
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 21:24
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -8.54%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -2.78%E -2.03%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 21:35
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.54%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.54%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 21:10
Neds3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.54%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 21:10
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 21:29
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.20%E -3.11%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 21:35
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.20%E -3.11%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 21:35
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.91%E -3.66%K -14.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 21:10
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 21:34
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 21:35
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 21:35
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 21:35
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 21:34
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -14.35%E -4.86%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -4.91%E -3.66%K -14.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 21:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-03-05 21:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-03-05 21:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-03-05 21:30
Novig3.61I 27.70%NM 27.22%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.78%1.8%2026-03-05 21:35
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%3.2%2026-03-05 21:35
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%4.7%2026-03-05 21:35