La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Chun-Hsin Tseng v Sebastian Baez
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Chun-Hsin Tseng (Casa)
Previsione 29.03%3.44quota equa
EV +7.43%
Vantaggio +2.01%
Kelly +2.75%
Crescita +0.204%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.85%28.90%29.04%31.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.293.303.7033.90%30.41%30.30%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Sebastian Baez (Trasferta)
Previsione 70.97%1.41quota equa
EV -2.78%
Vantaggio -2.03%
Kelly -7.51%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.37
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.76%71.10%70.96%74.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.321.321.3780.00%75.63%75.76%72.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +7.43%E +2.01%K +2.75%G +0.204% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -8.46%E -6.55%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +5.98%E +1.64%K +2.26%G +0.135% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -9.16%E -7.16%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +1.62%E +0.463%K +0.649%G +0.011% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -7.04%E -5.37%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 21:34 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.62%E +0.463%K +0.649%G +0.011% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| BetMGM | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +1.62%E +0.463%K +0.649%G +0.011% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.46%E -6.55%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV +1.62%E +0.463%K +0.649%G +0.011% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -11.29%E -9.03%K -45.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Casumo | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Unibet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| betPARX | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.170%E +0.049%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| GTbets | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -0.701%E -0.205%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 21:29 |
| Pinnacle | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Bovada | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 21:17 |
| SportsBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| BetRivers | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| TABtouch | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Bally Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Bet Victor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -8.46%E -6.55%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| BetUS | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -2.73%E -0.816%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.04%E -5.37%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 20:59 |
| Grosvenor | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -2.73%E -0.816%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -2.73%E -0.816%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -2.73%E -0.816%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 21:08 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.04%E -5.37%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| LeoVegas | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -8.46%E -6.55%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -9.16%E -7.16%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Coolbet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.20%E -3.11%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 21:34 |
| Bet Right | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.91%E -3.66%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 21:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Fliff | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -9.16%E -7.16%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.91%E -3.66%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Everygame | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 20:58 |
| theScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.75%E -5.96%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 21:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -8.46%E -6.55%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| 1xBet | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 21:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -8.54%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -2.78%E -2.03%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| DraftKings | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.54%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.54%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Neds | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.54%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.33%E -4.79%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 21:29 |
| NordicBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.20%E -3.11%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Betsson | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.20%E -3.11%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| TAB | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.91%E -3.66%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 21:34 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.49%E -2.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Fanatics | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.62%E -4.22%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-05 21:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -14.35%E -4.86%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -4.91%E -3.66%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| Novig | 3.61I 27.70%NM 27.22% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.78% | 1.8% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19% | 3.2% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Matchbook | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |