The School of Odds

Carlos Alcaraz v Grigor Dimitrov

Matchstart: 2026-03-08 01:15 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

58 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (Hemma)

Prognos 91.89%1.09rättvist odds
EV -2.60%
Fördel -2.45%
Kelly -43.33%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.06

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
50.00%91.80%91.94%93.63%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.001.031.031.06100.00%97.17%97.09%94.34%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Grigor Dimitrov (Borta)

Prognos 8.11%12.33rättvist odds
EV +21.70%
Fördel +1.45%
Kelly +1.55%
Tillväxt +0.336%

med antagandet om högsta odds 15.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
6.37%8.20%8.06%50.00%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.0011.8612.0615.00100.00%8.43%8.29%6.67%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (58 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Betclic (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +21.70%E +1.45%K +1.55%G +0.336%3.8%2026-03-08 00:34
BetRivers1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +21.70%E +1.45%K +1.55%G +0.336%4.7%2026-03-08 00:08
Bally Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +21.70%E +1.45%K +1.55%G +0.336%4.7%2026-03-08 00:14
Unibet (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.49%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%14.80I 6.76%NM 6.51%EV +20.08%E +1.36%K +1.45%G +0.292%3.8%2026-03-08 00:19
Pinnacle1.05I 95.24%NM 93.35%EV -3.52%E -3.35%K -70.38%G +0.000%14.74I 6.78%NM 6.65%EV +19.59%E +1.33%K +1.43%G +0.279%2.0%2026-03-08 00:24
Coolbet1.04I 96.15%NM 93.31%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV +17.64%E +1.22%K +1.31%G +0.231%3.1%2026-03-08 00:17
Marathon Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.32%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV +15.61%E +1.10%K +1.18%G +0.184%5.1%2026-03-08 00:19
theScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +13.58%E +0.970%K +1.04%G +0.142%5.2%2026-03-08 00:30
Hard Rock Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +13.58%E +0.970%K +1.04%G +0.142%5.2%2026-03-08 00:33
Winamax (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV +9.53%E +0.706%K +0.762%G +0.073%4.5%2026-03-08 00:34
DraftKings1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.52%E -3.35%K -70.38%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%2.9%2026-03-08 00:34
Bet Right1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:19
Betway1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:35
Coral1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:34
Unibet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:35
ATG (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:35
Svenska Spel1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:35
betPARX1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:30
Bovada1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:34
Neds1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%6.7%2026-03-08 00:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%6.7%2026-03-08 00:19
NetBet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%6.7%2026-03-08 00:13
Fliff1.01I 99.01%NM 92.77%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000%12.95I 7.72%NM 7.23%EV +5.07%E +0.391%K +0.424%G +0.021%6.7%2026-03-08 00:14
1xBet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV +4.66%E +0.361%K +0.392%G +0.018%4.8%2026-03-08 00:23
Unibet (NL)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.41%E +0.113%K +0.123%G +0.002%5.1%2026-03-08 00:34
Unibet (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.41%E +0.113%K +0.123%G +0.002%5.1%2026-03-08 00:34
Casumo1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.41%E +0.113%K +0.123%G +0.002%5.1%2026-03-08 00:34
BetOnline.ag1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -1.67%E -0.138%K -0.150%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 00:20
LowVig.ag1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -1.67%E -0.138%K -0.150%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 00:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -2.64%E -0.220%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 00:35
SportsBet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -2.64%E -0.220%K -0.240%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 00:28
Codere (IT)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -2.64%E -0.220%K -0.240%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 00:11
Unibet (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -6.70%E -0.582%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 00:33
NordicBet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -6.70%E -0.582%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 00:33
TABtouch1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -6.70%E -0.582%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 00:34
Betr (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -8.73%E -0.776%K -0.851%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 00:19
BoyleSports1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -2.60%E -2.45%K -43.33%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 00:35
FanDuel1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:34
William Hill1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:19
PlayUp1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 00:24
Caesars1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 00:19
Virgin Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
Grosvenor1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
LiveScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -14.81%E -1.41%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 00:34
Betsson1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 00:33
888sport1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 00:34
888sport (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 00:34
Mr Green (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 00:34
Paddy Power1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
BetMGM1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
TAB1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
Fanatics1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 00:20
Winamax (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -2.60%E -2.45%K -43.33%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -22.92%E -2.41%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 00:35
Tipico (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -26.98%E -3.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 00:19
Bet Victor1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.52%E -3.35%K -70.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -31.04%E -3.65%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 00:34
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -8.11%E -8.11%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -91.89%E -91.89%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-03-08 00:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-03-08 00:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-03-08 00:35
Smarkets1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.51I 5.71%NM 5.66%0.9%2026-03-08 00:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-03-08 00:35
Matchbook1.05I 95.24%NM 93.25%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.75%2.1%2026-03-08 00:34
Novig1.01I 99.01%NM 92.18%11.90I 8.40%NM 7.82%7.4%2026-03-08 00:35