Język:Polski
Carlos Alcaraz v Grigor Dimitrov
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Carlos Alcaraz (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 91.89%1.09kurs godziwy
EV -2.60%
Przewaga -2.45%
Kelly -43.33%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.06
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
50.00%91.80%91.94%93.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.001.031.031.06100.00%97.17%97.09%94.34%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Grigor Dimitrov (Goście)
Prognoza 8.11%12.33kurs godziwy
EV +21.70%
Przewaga +1.45%
Kelly +1.55%
Wzrost +0.336%
przy maksymalnym kursie 15.00
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
6.37%8.20%8.06%50.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.0011.8612.0615.00100.00%8.43%8.29%6.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Carlos Alcaraz (Gospodarze): 91.89%; Grigor Dimitrov (Goście): 8.11%. Dla wyniku Grigor Dimitrov (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 12.33. 27 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 15.00, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +21.70%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (58 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +21.70%E +1.45%K +1.55%G +0.336% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +21.70%E +1.45%K +1.55%G +0.336% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 00:08 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +21.70%E +1.45%K +1.55%G +0.336% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 00:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.49%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 14.80I 6.76%NM 6.51%EV +20.08%E +1.36%K +1.45%G +0.292% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.35%EV -3.52%E -3.35%K -70.38%G +0.000% | 14.74I 6.78%NM 6.65%EV +19.59%E +1.33%K +1.43%G +0.279% | 2.0% | 2026-03-08 00:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.31%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV +17.64%E +1.22%K +1.31%G +0.231% | 3.1% | 2026-03-08 00:17 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.32%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV +15.61%E +1.10%K +1.18%G +0.184% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +13.58%E +0.970%K +1.04%G +0.142% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +13.58%E +0.970%K +1.04%G +0.142% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:33 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV +9.53%E +0.706%K +0.762%G +0.073% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.52%E -3.35%K -70.38%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 2.9% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 00:13 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.77%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000% | 12.95I 7.72%NM 7.23%EV +5.07%E +0.391%K +0.424%G +0.021% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 00:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV +4.66%E +0.361%K +0.392%G +0.018% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:23 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.41%E +0.113%K +0.123%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.41%E +0.113%K +0.123%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.41%E +0.113%K +0.123%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -1.67%E -0.138%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 00:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -1.67%E -0.138%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -2.64%E -0.220%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -2.64%E -0.220%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 00:28 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -2.64%E -0.220%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 00:11 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -6.70%E -0.582%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:33 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -6.70%E -0.582%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 00:33 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -6.70%E -0.582%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -8.73%E -0.776%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -2.60%E -2.45%K -43.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 00:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -14.81%E -1.41%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 00:33 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 00:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -2.60%E -2.45%K -43.33%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -22.92%E -2.41%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -26.98%E -3.00%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.52%E -3.35%K -70.38%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -31.04%E -3.65%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -8.11%E -8.11%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -91.89%E -91.89%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 100.0% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.51I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 0.9% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.25% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.75% | 2.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Novig◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.18% | 11.90I 8.40%NM 7.82% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |