Szkoła Kursów

Carlos Alcaraz v Grigor Dimitrov

Początek: 2026-03-08 01:15 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

58 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 91.89%1.09kurs godziwy
EV -2.60%
Przewaga -2.45%
Kelly -43.33%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.06

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
50.00%91.80%91.94%93.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.001.031.031.06100.00%97.17%97.09%94.34%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Grigor Dimitrov (Goście)

Prognoza 8.11%12.33kurs godziwy
EV +21.70%
Przewaga +1.45%
Kelly +1.55%
Wzrost +0.336%

przy maksymalnym kursie 15.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
6.37%8.20%8.06%50.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.0011.8612.0615.00100.00%8.43%8.29%6.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (58 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Betclic (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +21.70%E +1.45%K +1.55%G +0.336%3.8%2026-03-08 00:34
BetRivers1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +21.70%E +1.45%K +1.55%G +0.336%4.7%2026-03-08 00:08
Bally Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +21.70%E +1.45%K +1.55%G +0.336%4.7%2026-03-08 00:14
Unibet (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.49%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%14.80I 6.76%NM 6.51%EV +20.08%E +1.36%K +1.45%G +0.292%3.8%2026-03-08 00:19
Pinnacle1.05I 95.24%NM 93.35%EV -3.52%E -3.35%K -70.38%G +0.000%14.74I 6.78%NM 6.65%EV +19.59%E +1.33%K +1.43%G +0.279%2.0%2026-03-08 00:24
Coolbet1.04I 96.15%NM 93.31%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV +17.64%E +1.22%K +1.31%G +0.231%3.1%2026-03-08 00:17
Marathon Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.32%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV +15.61%E +1.10%K +1.18%G +0.184%5.1%2026-03-08 00:19
theScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +13.58%E +0.970%K +1.04%G +0.142%5.2%2026-03-08 00:30
Hard Rock Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +13.58%E +0.970%K +1.04%G +0.142%5.2%2026-03-08 00:33
Winamax (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV +9.53%E +0.706%K +0.762%G +0.073%4.5%2026-03-08 00:34
DraftKings1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.52%E -3.35%K -70.38%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%2.9%2026-03-08 00:34
Bet Right1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:19
Betway1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:35
Coral1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:34
Unibet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:35
ATG (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:35
Svenska Spel1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:35
betPARX1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:30
Bovada1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:34
Neds1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%6.7%2026-03-08 00:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%6.7%2026-03-08 00:19
NetBet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%6.7%2026-03-08 00:13
Fliff1.01I 99.01%NM 92.77%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000%12.95I 7.72%NM 7.23%EV +5.07%E +0.391%K +0.424%G +0.021%6.7%2026-03-08 00:14
1xBet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV +4.66%E +0.361%K +0.392%G +0.018%4.8%2026-03-08 00:23
Unibet (NL)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.41%E +0.113%K +0.123%G +0.002%5.1%2026-03-08 00:34
Unibet (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.41%E +0.113%K +0.123%G +0.002%5.1%2026-03-08 00:34
Casumo1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.41%E +0.113%K +0.123%G +0.002%5.1%2026-03-08 00:34
BetOnline.ag1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -1.67%E -0.138%K -0.150%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 00:20
LowVig.ag1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -1.67%E -0.138%K -0.150%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 00:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -2.64%E -0.220%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 00:35
SportsBet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -2.64%E -0.220%K -0.240%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 00:28
Codere (IT)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -2.64%E -0.220%K -0.240%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 00:11
Unibet (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -6.70%E -0.582%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 00:33
NordicBet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -6.70%E -0.582%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 00:33
TABtouch1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -6.70%E -0.582%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 00:34
Betr (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -8.73%E -0.776%K -0.851%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 00:19
BoyleSports1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -2.60%E -2.45%K -43.33%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 00:35
FanDuel1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:34
William Hill1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:19
PlayUp1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 00:24
Caesars1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 00:19
Virgin Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
Grosvenor1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
LiveScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -14.81%E -1.41%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 00:34
Betsson1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 00:33
888sport1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 00:34
888sport (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 00:34
Mr Green (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 00:34
Paddy Power1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
BetMGM1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
TAB1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
Fanatics1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 00:20
Winamax (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -2.60%E -2.45%K -43.33%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -22.92%E -2.41%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 00:35
Tipico (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -26.98%E -3.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 00:19
Bet Victor1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.52%E -3.35%K -70.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -31.04%E -3.65%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 00:34
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -8.11%E -8.11%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -91.89%E -91.89%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-03-08 00:35
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-03-08 00:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-03-08 00:35
Smarkets1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.51I 5.71%NM 5.66%0.9%2026-03-08 00:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-03-08 00:35
Matchbook1.05I 95.24%NM 93.25%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.75%2.1%2026-03-08 00:34
Novig1.01I 99.01%NM 92.18%11.90I 8.40%NM 7.82%7.4%2026-03-08 00:35