Idioma:Português
Carlos Alcaraz v Grigor Dimitrov
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Carlos Alcaraz (Local)
Previsão 91.89%1.09odd justa
EV -2.60%
Vantagem -2.45%
Kelly -43.33%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.06
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%91.80%91.94%93.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.001.031.031.06100.00%97.17%97.09%94.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Grigor Dimitrov (Visitante)
Previsão 8.11%12.33odd justa
EV +21.70%
Vantagem +1.45%
Kelly +1.55%
Crescimento +0.336%
pressupondo odds máximas de 15.00
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
6.37%8.20%8.06%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.0011.8612.0615.00100.00%8.43%8.29%6.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Carlos Alcaraz (Local): 91.89%; Grigor Dimitrov (Visitante): 8.11%. Para Grigor Dimitrov (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 12.33. 27 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 15.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +21.70%.
Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +21.70%E +1.45%K +1.55%G +0.336% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +21.70%E +1.45%K +1.55%G +0.336% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 00:08 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +21.70%E +1.45%K +1.55%G +0.336% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 00:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.49%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 14.80I 6.76%NM 6.51%EV +20.08%E +1.36%K +1.45%G +0.292% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.35%EV -3.52%E -3.35%K -70.38%G +0.000% | 14.74I 6.78%NM 6.65%EV +19.59%E +1.33%K +1.43%G +0.279% | 2.0% | 2026-03-08 00:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.31%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV +17.64%E +1.22%K +1.31%G +0.231% | 3.1% | 2026-03-08 00:17 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.32%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV +15.61%E +1.10%K +1.18%G +0.184% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +13.58%E +0.970%K +1.04%G +0.142% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +13.58%E +0.970%K +1.04%G +0.142% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:33 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV +9.53%E +0.706%K +0.762%G +0.073% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.52%E -3.35%K -70.38%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 2.9% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 00:13 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.77%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000% | 12.95I 7.72%NM 7.23%EV +5.07%E +0.391%K +0.424%G +0.021% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 00:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV +4.66%E +0.361%K +0.392%G +0.018% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:23 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.41%E +0.113%K +0.123%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.41%E +0.113%K +0.123%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.41%E +0.113%K +0.123%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -1.67%E -0.138%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 00:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -1.67%E -0.138%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -2.64%E -0.220%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -2.64%E -0.220%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 00:28 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -2.64%E -0.220%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 00:11 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -6.70%E -0.582%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:33 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -6.70%E -0.582%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 00:33 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -6.70%E -0.582%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -8.73%E -0.776%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -2.60%E -2.45%K -43.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 00:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -14.81%E -1.41%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 00:33 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 00:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -2.60%E -2.45%K -43.33%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -22.92%E -2.41%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -26.98%E -3.00%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.52%E -3.35%K -70.38%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -31.04%E -3.65%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -8.11%E -8.11%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -91.89%E -91.89%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 100.0% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.51I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 0.9% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.25% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.75% | 2.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Novig◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.18% | 11.90I 8.40%NM 7.82% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |