Язык:Русский
Carlos Alcaraz v Grigor Dimitrov
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Carlos Alcaraz (Хозяева)
Прогноз 91.89%1.09справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.60%
Преимущество -2.45%
Kelly -43.33%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.06
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
50.00%91.80%91.94%93.63%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.001.031.031.06100.00%97.17%97.09%94.34%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Grigor Dimitrov (Гости)
Прогноз 8.11%12.33справедливый коэффициент
EV +21.70%
Преимущество +1.45%
Kelly +1.55%
Рост +0.336%
при максимальном коэффициенте 15.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
6.37%8.20%8.06%50.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.0011.8612.0615.00100.00%8.43%8.29%6.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Carlos Alcaraz (Хозяева): 91.89%; Grigor Dimitrov (Гости): 8.11%. Для исхода «Grigor Dimitrov (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 12.33. 27 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 15.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +21.70%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +21.70%E +1.45%K +1.55%G +0.336% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +21.70%E +1.45%K +1.55%G +0.336% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 00:08 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +21.70%E +1.45%K +1.55%G +0.336% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 00:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.49%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 14.80I 6.76%NM 6.51%EV +20.08%E +1.36%K +1.45%G +0.292% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.35%EV -3.52%E -3.35%K -70.38%G +0.000% | 14.74I 6.78%NM 6.65%EV +19.59%E +1.33%K +1.43%G +0.279% | 2.0% | 2026-03-08 00:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.31%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV +17.64%E +1.22%K +1.31%G +0.231% | 3.1% | 2026-03-08 00:17 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.32%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV +15.61%E +1.10%K +1.18%G +0.184% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +13.58%E +0.970%K +1.04%G +0.142% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +13.58%E +0.970%K +1.04%G +0.142% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:33 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV +9.53%E +0.706%K +0.762%G +0.073% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.52%E -3.35%K -70.38%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 2.9% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 00:13 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.77%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000% | 12.95I 7.72%NM 7.23%EV +5.07%E +0.391%K +0.424%G +0.021% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 00:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV +4.66%E +0.361%K +0.392%G +0.018% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:23 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.41%E +0.113%K +0.123%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.41%E +0.113%K +0.123%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.41%E +0.113%K +0.123%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -1.67%E -0.138%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 00:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -1.67%E -0.138%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -2.64%E -0.220%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -2.64%E -0.220%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 00:28 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -2.64%E -0.220%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 00:11 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -6.70%E -0.582%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:33 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -6.70%E -0.582%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 00:33 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -6.70%E -0.582%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -8.73%E -0.776%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -2.60%E -2.45%K -43.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 00:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -14.81%E -1.41%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 00:33 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 00:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -2.60%E -2.45%K -43.33%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -22.92%E -2.41%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -26.98%E -3.00%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.52%E -3.35%K -70.38%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -31.04%E -3.65%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -8.11%E -8.11%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -91.89%E -91.89%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 100.0% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.51I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 0.9% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.25% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.75% | 2.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Novig◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.18% | 11.90I 8.40%NM 7.82% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |