La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Carlos Alcaraz v Grigor Dimitrov
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Carlos Alcaraz (Local)
Predicción 91.89%1.09momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -2.45%
Kelly -43.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%91.80%91.94%93.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.001.031.031.06100.00%97.17%97.09%94.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Grigor Dimitrov (Visitante)
Predicción 8.11%12.33momio equitativo
EV +21.70%
Ventaja +1.45%
Kelly +1.55%
Crecimiento +0.336%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 15.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.37%8.20%8.06%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.0011.8612.0615.00100.00%8.43%8.29%6.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +21.70%E +1.45%K +1.55%G +0.336% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +21.70%E +1.45%K +1.55%G +0.336% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 00:08 |
| Bally Bet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +21.70%E +1.45%K +1.55%G +0.336% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 00:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.49%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 14.80I 6.76%NM 6.51%EV +20.08%E +1.36%K +1.45%G +0.292% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.35%EV -3.52%E -3.35%K -70.38%G +0.000% | 14.74I 6.78%NM 6.65%EV +19.59%E +1.33%K +1.43%G +0.279% | 2.0% | 2026-03-08 00:24 |
| Coolbet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.31%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV +17.64%E +1.22%K +1.31%G +0.231% | 3.1% | 2026-03-08 00:17 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.32%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV +15.61%E +1.10%K +1.18%G +0.184% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +13.58%E +0.970%K +1.04%G +0.142% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +13.58%E +0.970%K +1.04%G +0.142% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:33 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV +9.53%E +0.706%K +0.762%G +0.073% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.52%E -3.35%K -70.38%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 2.9% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Bet Right | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Betway | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| Coral | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Unibet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| betPARX | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:30 |
| Bovada | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Neds | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 00:13 |
| Fliff | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.77%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000% | 12.95I 7.72%NM 7.23%EV +5.07%E +0.391%K +0.424%G +0.021% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 00:14 |
| 1xBet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV +4.66%E +0.361%K +0.392%G +0.018% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:23 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.41%E +0.113%K +0.123%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.41%E +0.113%K +0.123%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Casumo | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.41%E +0.113%K +0.123%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -1.67%E -0.138%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 00:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -1.67%E -0.138%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -2.64%E -0.220%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -2.64%E -0.220%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 00:28 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -2.64%E -0.220%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 00:11 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -6.70%E -0.582%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 00:33 |
| NordicBet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -6.70%E -0.582%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 00:33 |
| TABtouch | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -6.70%E -0.582%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -8.73%E -0.776%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -2.60%E -2.45%K -43.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| William Hill | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 00:24 |
| Caesars | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| LeoVegas | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -14.81%E -1.41%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Betsson | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 00:33 |
| 888sport | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| TAB | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Fanatics | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 00:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -2.60%E -2.45%K -43.33%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -22.92%E -2.41%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -26.98%E -3.00%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.52%E -3.35%K -70.38%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -31.04%E -3.65%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -8.11%E -8.11%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -91.89%E -91.89%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 100.0% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.51I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 0.9% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.25% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.75% | 2.1% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Novig | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.18% | 11.90I 8.40%NM 7.82% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |