مدرسة الاحتمالات

Carlos Alcaraz v Grigor Dimitrov

البداية: 2026-03-08 01:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (المضيف)

التنبؤ 91.89%1.09السعر العادل
EV -2.60%
الأفضلية -2.45%
Kelly -43.33%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.06

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.00%91.80%91.94%93.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.001.031.031.06100.00%97.17%97.09%94.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Grigor Dimitrov (الضيف)

التنبؤ 8.11%12.33السعر العادل
EV +21.70%
الأفضلية +1.45%
Kelly +1.55%
النمو +0.336%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 15.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
6.37%8.20%8.06%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.0011.8612.0615.00100.00%8.43%8.29%6.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Betclic (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +21.70%E +1.45%K +1.55%G +0.336%3.8%2026-03-08 00:34
BetRivers1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +21.70%E +1.45%K +1.55%G +0.336%4.7%2026-03-08 00:08
Bally Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +21.70%E +1.45%K +1.55%G +0.336%4.7%2026-03-08 00:14
Unibet (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.49%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%14.80I 6.76%NM 6.51%EV +20.08%E +1.36%K +1.45%G +0.292%3.8%2026-03-08 00:19
Pinnacle1.05I 95.24%NM 93.35%EV -3.52%E -3.35%K -70.38%G +0.000%14.74I 6.78%NM 6.65%EV +19.59%E +1.33%K +1.43%G +0.279%2.0%2026-03-08 00:24
Coolbet1.04I 96.15%NM 93.31%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV +17.64%E +1.22%K +1.31%G +0.231%3.1%2026-03-08 00:17
Marathon Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.32%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV +15.61%E +1.10%K +1.18%G +0.184%5.1%2026-03-08 00:19
theScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +13.58%E +0.970%K +1.04%G +0.142%5.2%2026-03-08 00:30
Hard Rock Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +13.58%E +0.970%K +1.04%G +0.142%5.2%2026-03-08 00:33
Winamax (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV +9.53%E +0.706%K +0.762%G +0.073%4.5%2026-03-08 00:34
DraftKings1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.52%E -3.35%K -70.38%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%2.9%2026-03-08 00:34
Bet Right1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:19
Betway1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:35
Coral1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:34
Unibet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:35
ATG (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:35
Svenska Spel1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:35
betPARX1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:30
Bovada1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:34
Neds1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%6.7%2026-03-08 00:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%6.7%2026-03-08 00:19
NetBet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%6.7%2026-03-08 00:13
Fliff1.01I 99.01%NM 92.77%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000%12.95I 7.72%NM 7.23%EV +5.07%E +0.391%K +0.424%G +0.021%6.7%2026-03-08 00:14
1xBet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV +4.66%E +0.361%K +0.392%G +0.018%4.8%2026-03-08 00:23
Unibet (NL)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.41%E +0.113%K +0.123%G +0.002%5.1%2026-03-08 00:34
Unibet (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.41%E +0.113%K +0.123%G +0.002%5.1%2026-03-08 00:34
Casumo1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.41%E +0.113%K +0.123%G +0.002%5.1%2026-03-08 00:34
BetOnline.ag1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -1.67%E -0.138%K -0.150%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 00:20
LowVig.ag1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -1.67%E -0.138%K -0.150%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 00:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -2.64%E -0.220%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 00:35
SportsBet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -2.64%E -0.220%K -0.240%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 00:28
Codere (IT)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -2.64%E -0.220%K -0.240%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 00:11
Unibet (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -6.70%E -0.582%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 00:33
NordicBet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -6.70%E -0.582%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 00:33
TABtouch1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -6.70%E -0.582%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 00:34
Betr (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -8.73%E -0.776%K -0.851%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 00:19
BoyleSports1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -2.60%E -2.45%K -43.33%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 00:35
FanDuel1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:34
William Hill1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:19
PlayUp1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 00:24
Caesars1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 00:19
Virgin Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
Grosvenor1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
LiveScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -14.81%E -1.41%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 00:34
Betsson1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 00:33
888sport1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 00:34
888sport (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 00:34
Mr Green (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 00:34
Paddy Power1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
BetMGM1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
TAB1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
Fanatics1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 00:20
Winamax (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -2.60%E -2.45%K -43.33%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -22.92%E -2.41%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 00:35
Tipico (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -26.98%E -3.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 00:19
Bet Victor1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.52%E -3.35%K -70.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -31.04%E -3.65%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 00:34
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -8.11%E -8.11%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -91.89%E -91.89%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-03-08 00:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-03-08 00:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-03-08 00:35
Smarkets1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.51I 5.71%NM 5.66%0.9%2026-03-08 00:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-03-08 00:35
Matchbook1.05I 95.24%NM 93.25%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.75%2.1%2026-03-08 00:34
Novig1.01I 99.01%NM 92.18%11.90I 8.40%NM 7.82%7.4%2026-03-08 00:35