Die Wettquotenschule

Carlos Alcaraz v Grigor Dimitrov

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-08 01:15 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

58 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (Heim)

Prognose 91.89%1.09faire Quote
EV -2.60%
Vorteil -2.45%
Kelly -43.33%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.06

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
50.00%91.80%91.94%93.63%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.001.031.031.06100.00%97.17%97.09%94.34%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Grigor Dimitrov (Auswärts)

Prognose 8.11%12.33faire Quote
EV +21.70%
Vorteil +1.45%
Kelly +1.55%
Wachstum +0.336%

bei einer Höchstquote von 15.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
6.37%8.20%8.06%50.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.0011.8612.0615.00100.00%8.43%8.29%6.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (58 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Betclic (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +21.70%E +1.45%K +1.55%G +0.336%3.8%2026-03-08 00:34
BetRivers1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +21.70%E +1.45%K +1.55%G +0.336%4.7%2026-03-08 00:08
Bally Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +21.70%E +1.45%K +1.55%G +0.336%4.7%2026-03-08 00:14
Unibet (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.49%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%14.80I 6.76%NM 6.51%EV +20.08%E +1.36%K +1.45%G +0.292%3.8%2026-03-08 00:19
Pinnacle1.05I 95.24%NM 93.35%EV -3.52%E -3.35%K -70.38%G +0.000%14.74I 6.78%NM 6.65%EV +19.59%E +1.33%K +1.43%G +0.279%2.0%2026-03-08 00:24
Coolbet1.04I 96.15%NM 93.31%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV +17.64%E +1.22%K +1.31%G +0.231%3.1%2026-03-08 00:17
Marathon Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.32%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV +15.61%E +1.10%K +1.18%G +0.184%5.1%2026-03-08 00:19
theScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +13.58%E +0.970%K +1.04%G +0.142%5.2%2026-03-08 00:30
Hard Rock Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +13.58%E +0.970%K +1.04%G +0.142%5.2%2026-03-08 00:33
Winamax (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV +9.53%E +0.706%K +0.762%G +0.073%4.5%2026-03-08 00:34
DraftKings1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.52%E -3.35%K -70.38%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%2.9%2026-03-08 00:34
Bet Right1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:19
Betway1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:35
Coral1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:34
Unibet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:35
ATG (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:35
Svenska Spel1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:35
betPARX1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:30
Bovada1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%4.8%2026-03-08 00:34
Neds1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%6.7%2026-03-08 00:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%6.7%2026-03-08 00:19
NetBet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +5.47%E +0.421%K +0.456%G +0.025%6.7%2026-03-08 00:13
Fliff1.01I 99.01%NM 92.77%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000%12.95I 7.72%NM 7.23%EV +5.07%E +0.391%K +0.424%G +0.021%6.7%2026-03-08 00:14
1xBet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV +4.66%E +0.361%K +0.392%G +0.018%4.8%2026-03-08 00:23
Unibet (NL)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.41%E +0.113%K +0.123%G +0.002%5.1%2026-03-08 00:34
Unibet (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.41%E +0.113%K +0.123%G +0.002%5.1%2026-03-08 00:34
Casumo1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.41%E +0.113%K +0.123%G +0.002%5.1%2026-03-08 00:34
BetOnline.ag1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -1.67%E -0.138%K -0.150%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 00:20
LowVig.ag1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -1.67%E -0.138%K -0.150%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 00:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -2.64%E -0.220%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 00:35
SportsBet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -2.64%E -0.220%K -0.240%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 00:28
Codere (IT)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -2.64%E -0.220%K -0.240%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 00:11
Unibet (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -6.70%E -0.582%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 00:33
NordicBet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -6.70%E -0.582%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 00:33
TABtouch1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -6.70%E -0.582%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 00:34
Betr (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -8.73%E -0.776%K -0.851%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 00:19
BoyleSports1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -2.60%E -2.45%K -43.33%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 00:35
FanDuel1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:34
William Hill1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:19
PlayUp1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 00:24
Caesars1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 00:19
Virgin Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
Grosvenor1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
LiveScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -10.75%E -0.978%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -719.43%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -14.81%E -1.41%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 00:34
Betsson1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 00:33
888sport1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 00:34
888sport (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 00:34
Mr Green (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.44%E -4.27%K -110.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 00:34
Paddy Power1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
BetMGM1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
TAB1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:34
Fanatics1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.28%E -6.15%K -313.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -18.87%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 00:20
Winamax (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -2.60%E -2.45%K -43.33%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -22.92%E -2.41%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 00:35
Tipico (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.36%E -5.20%K -178.55%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -26.98%E -3.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 00:19
Bet Victor1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.52%E -3.35%K -70.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -31.04%E -3.65%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 00:34
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -8.11%E -8.11%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -91.89%E -91.89%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-03-08 00:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-03-08 00:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-03-08 00:35
Smarkets1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.51I 5.71%NM 5.66%0.9%2026-03-08 00:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-03-08 00:35
Matchbook1.05I 95.24%NM 93.25%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.75%2.1%2026-03-08 00:34
Novig1.01I 99.01%NM 92.18%11.90I 8.40%NM 7.82%7.4%2026-03-08 00:35