Language:English
Zizou Bergs v Arthur Gea
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zizou Bergs (Local)
Prediction 63.51%1.57fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -2.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.76%63.59%63.41%65.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.491.501.5569.93%67.29%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arthur Gea (Visit)
Prediction 36.49%2.74fair odd
EV +0.358%
Edge +0.130%
Kelly +0.205%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.52%36.41%36.59%39.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.582.602.7541.67%38.76%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zizou Bergs (Local): 63.51%; Arthur Gea (Visit): 36.49%. For Arthur Gea (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.358%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.358%E +0.130%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 08:21 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-18 13:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-18 13:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.37%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.63%EV -1.10%E -0.407%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-18 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -2.56%E -0.959%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 10:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -2.93%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-18 08:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 08:21 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.39%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 08:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.75%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-18 08:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:21 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:21 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:21 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:06 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:06 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 08:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 08:21 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 08:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 08:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 08:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 08:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -5.85%E -2.27%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -6.21%E -2.42%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-18 10:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 13:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 08:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 08:21 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-18 08:26 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-18 12:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-18 08:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 08:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.65%E -4.52%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.57%E -1.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 06:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-18 02:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -9.19%E -6.42%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-18 08:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -9.19%E -6.42%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-18 08:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-05-18 10:42 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29% | 1.6% | 2026-05-18 10:42 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47% | 1.9% | 2026-05-18 10:43 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84% | 2.8% | 2026-05-18 10:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77% | 4.0% | 2026-05-18 10:20 |