StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Zizou Bergs v Arthur Gea

Matchstart: 2026-05-19 09:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

57 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Zizou Bergs (Hemma)

Prognos 63.51%1.57rättvist odds
EV -1.57%
Fördel -1.01%
Kelly -2.85%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.55

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
60.76%63.59%63.41%65.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.431.491.501.5569.93%67.29%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Arthur Gea (Borta)

Prognos 36.49%2.74rättvist odds
EV +0.358%
Fördel +0.130%
Kelly +0.205%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
34.52%36.41%36.59%39.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.402.582.602.7541.67%38.76%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Zizou Bergs (Hemma): 63.51%; Arthur Gea (Borta): 36.49%. För Arthur Gea (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.74. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.75, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.358%.

Spelbolagsodds (57 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.358%E +0.130%K +0.205%G +0.001%5.3%2026-05-18 08:21
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.004%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-18 13:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.004%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-18 13:00
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.37%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.63%EV -1.10%E -0.407%K -0.644%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-18 13:45
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -2.56%E -0.959%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 10:20
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -2.93%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 08:20
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-18 12:20
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 08:21
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.39%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 08:20
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.75%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 08:20
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 12:20
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:21
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:21
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:21
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:06
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:06
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 08:20
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 08:21
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 08:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 08:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 08:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 08:05
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 12:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -5.85%E -2.27%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 12:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -6.21%E -2.42%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 10:25
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 13:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 08:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 08:21
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 08:26
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 12:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 08:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 08:10
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 08:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 12:15
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 12:20
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 12:20
ReBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.65%E -4.52%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 10:05
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-18 12:20
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.57%E -1.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 06:30
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 02:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -9.19%E -6.42%K -21.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-18 08:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -9.19%E -6.42%K -21.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-18 08:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-05-18 10:42
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29%1.6%2026-05-18 10:42
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.9%2026-05-18 10:43
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%2.8%2026-05-18 10:20
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%4.0%2026-05-18 10:20