مدرسة الاحتمالات

Zizou Bergs v Arthur Gea

البداية: 2026-05-19 09:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Zizou Bergs (المضيف)

التنبؤ 63.51%1.57السعر العادل
EV -1.57%
الأفضلية -1.01%
Kelly -2.85%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
60.76%63.59%63.41%65.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.431.491.501.5569.93%67.29%66.67%64.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arthur Gea (الضيف)

التنبؤ 36.49%2.74السعر العادل
EV +0.358%
الأفضلية +0.130%
Kelly +0.205%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.52%36.41%36.59%39.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.582.602.7541.67%38.76%38.46%36.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.358%E +0.130%K +0.205%G +0.001%5.3%2026-05-18 08:21
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.004%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-18 13:00
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.004%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-18 13:00
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 64.37%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.63%EV -1.10%E -0.407%K -0.644%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-18 13:45
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -2.56%E -0.959%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 10:20
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -2.93%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 08:20
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-18 12:20
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 08:21
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.39%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 08:20
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.75%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 08:20
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 12:20
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:21
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:21
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:21
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:20
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:06
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:06
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:30
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 08:20
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 08:21
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 08:20
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 08:40
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 08:05
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 08:05
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 12:20
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -5.85%E -2.27%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 12:20
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -6.21%E -2.42%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 10:25
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 13:15
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 08:20
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 08:21
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 08:26
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 12:05
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 08:05
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 08:10
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 08:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 12:15
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 12:20
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 12:20
ReBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.65%E -4.52%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 10:05
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-18 12:20
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.57%E -1.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 06:30
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 02:05
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -9.19%E -6.42%K -21.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-18 08:20
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -9.19%E -6.42%K -21.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-18 08:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-05-18 10:42
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29%1.6%2026-05-18 10:42
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.9%2026-05-18 10:43
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%2.8%2026-05-18 10:20
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%4.0%2026-05-18 10:20