Idioma:Español
Zizou Bergs v Arthur Gea
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Zizou Bergs (Local)
Predicción 63.51%1.57momio equitativo
EV -1.57%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -2.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.76%63.59%63.41%65.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.431.491.501.5569.93%67.29%66.67%64.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Arthur Gea (Visitante)
Predicción 36.49%2.74momio equitativo
EV +0.358%
Ventaja +0.130%
Kelly +0.205%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.52%36.41%36.59%39.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.582.602.7541.67%38.76%38.46%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Zizou Bergs (Local): 63.51%; Arthur Gea (Visitante): 36.49%. Para Arthur Gea (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.74. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.358%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.358%E +0.130%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 08:21 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-18 13:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-18 13:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.37%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.63%EV -1.10%E -0.407%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-18 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -2.56%E -0.959%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 10:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -2.93%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-18 08:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 08:21 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.39%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 08:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.75%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-18 08:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:21 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:21 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:21 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:06 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:06 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 08:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 08:21 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 08:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 08:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 08:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 08:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -5.85%E -2.27%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -6.21%E -2.42%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-18 10:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 13:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 08:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 08:21 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-18 08:26 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-18 12:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-18 08:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 08:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.65%E -4.52%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.57%E -1.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 06:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-18 02:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -9.19%E -6.42%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-18 08:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -9.19%E -6.42%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-18 08:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-05-18 10:42 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29% | 1.6% | 2026-05-18 10:42 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47% | 1.9% | 2026-05-18 10:43 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84% | 2.8% | 2026-05-18 10:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77% | 4.0% | 2026-05-18 10:20 |