L’École des cotes

Zizou Bergs v Arthur Gea

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-19 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Zizou Bergs (Local)

Prévision 63.51%1.57cote équitable
EV -1.57%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -2.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.76%63.59%63.41%65.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.491.501.5569.93%67.29%66.67%64.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Arthur Gea (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.49%2.74cote équitable
EV +0.358%
Avantage +0.130%
Kelly +0.205%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.52%36.41%36.59%39.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.582.602.7541.67%38.76%38.46%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.358%E +0.130%K +0.205%G +0.001%5.3%2026-05-18 08:21
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.004%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-18 13:00
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.004%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-18 13:00
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 64.37%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.63%EV -1.10%E -0.407%K -0.644%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-18 13:45
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -2.56%E -0.959%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 10:20
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -2.93%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 08:20
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-18 12:20
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 08:21
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.39%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 08:20
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.75%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 08:20
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 12:20
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:21
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:21
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:21
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:20
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:06
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:06
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:30
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 08:20
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 08:21
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 08:20
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 08:40
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 08:05
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 08:05
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 12:20
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -5.85%E -2.27%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 12:20
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -6.21%E -2.42%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 10:25
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 13:15
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 08:20
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 08:21
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 08:26
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 12:05
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 08:05
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 08:10
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 08:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 12:15
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 12:20
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 12:20
ReBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.65%E -4.52%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 10:05
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-18 12:20
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.57%E -1.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 06:30
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 02:05
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -9.19%E -6.42%K -21.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-18 08:20
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -9.19%E -6.42%K -21.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-18 08:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-05-18 10:42
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29%1.6%2026-05-18 10:42
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.9%2026-05-18 10:43
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%2.8%2026-05-18 10:20
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%4.0%2026-05-18 10:20