A Escola das Odds

Zizou Bergs v Arthur Gea

Início: 2026-05-19 09:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Zizou Bergs (Local)

Previsão 63.51%1.57odd justa
EV -1.57%
Vantagem -1.01%
Kelly -2.85%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.76%63.59%63.41%65.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.431.491.501.5569.93%67.29%66.67%64.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arthur Gea (Visitante)

Previsão 36.49%2.74odd justa
EV +0.358%
Vantagem +0.130%
Kelly +0.205%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.52%36.41%36.59%39.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.582.602.7541.67%38.76%38.46%36.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.358%E +0.130%K +0.205%G +0.001%5.3%2026-05-18 08:21
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.004%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-18 13:00
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.004%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-18 13:00
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 64.37%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.63%EV -1.10%E -0.407%K -0.644%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-18 13:45
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -2.56%E -0.959%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 10:20
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -2.93%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 08:20
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-18 12:20
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 08:21
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.39%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 08:20
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.75%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 08:20
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 12:20
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:21
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:21
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:21
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:20
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:06
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:06
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:05
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:30
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 08:20
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 08:21
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 08:20
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 08:40
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 08:05
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 08:05
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 12:20
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -5.85%E -2.27%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 12:20
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -6.21%E -2.42%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 10:25
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 13:15
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 08:20
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 08:21
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 08:26
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 12:05
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 08:05
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 08:10
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 08:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 12:15
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 12:20
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 12:20
ReBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.65%E -4.52%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 10:05
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-18 12:20
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.57%E -1.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 06:30
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 02:05
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -9.19%E -6.42%K -21.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-18 08:20
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -9.19%E -6.42%K -21.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-18 08:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-05-18 10:42
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29%1.6%2026-05-18 10:42
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.9%2026-05-18 10:43
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%2.8%2026-05-18 10:20
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%4.0%2026-05-18 10:20