Language:English
Marcos Giron v Ben Shelton
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Marcos Giron (Local)
Prediction 25.31%3.95fair odd
EV +5.30%
Edge +1.27%
Kelly +1.68%
Growth +0.089%
assuming max odds 4.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.11%25.36%25.50%27.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.633.654.1630.30%27.51%27.40%24.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ben Shelton (Visit)
Prediction 74.69%1.34fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -4.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.03%74.64%74.50%76.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.281.271.3281.97%78.10%78.74%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marcos Giron (Local): 25.31%; Ben Shelton (Visit): 74.69%. For Marcos Giron (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.95. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.30%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +5.30%E +1.27%K +1.68%G +0.089% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +5.30%E +1.27%K +1.68%G +0.089% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.25%E +0.313%K +0.417%G +0.005% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.81%EV -1.03%E -0.263%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.19%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -1.28%E -0.328%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-18 14:51 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.28%E -0.328%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -1.28%E -0.328%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -2.55%E -0.661%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-18 14:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -2.80%E -0.729%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -3.56%E -0.934%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.88%E -7.28%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-18 14:42 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.39%E -5.96%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 14:51 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -7.10%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.99%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 14:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -2.16%E -1.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-18 14:42 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -15.20%E -4.54%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.91%E -2.24%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -15.20%E -4.54%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.91%E -2.24%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -16.47%E -4.99%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 1.4% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.78% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.22% | 2.8% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |