مدرسة الاحتمالات

Marcos Giron v Ben Shelton

البداية: 2026-05-18 15:10 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Marcos Giron (المضيف)

التنبؤ 25.31%3.95السعر العادل
EV +5.30%
الأفضلية +1.27%
Kelly +1.68%
النمو +0.089%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.16

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.11%25.36%25.50%27.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.633.654.1630.30%27.51%27.40%24.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Ben Shelton (الضيف)

التنبؤ 74.69%1.34السعر العادل
EV -1.41%
الأفضلية -1.07%
Kelly -4.42%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.32

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
72.03%74.64%74.50%76.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.221.281.271.3281.97%78.10%78.74%75.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +5.30%E +1.27%K +1.68%G +0.089%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 14:45
BetOnline.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +5.30%E +1.27%K +1.68%G +0.089%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 14:45
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.25%E +0.313%K +0.417%G +0.005%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 14:50
Pinnacle3.91I 25.58%NM 24.81%EV -1.03%E -0.263%K -0.353%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.19%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-18 14:45
Winamax (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -1.28%E -0.328%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-18 14:51
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.28%E -0.328%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 14:50
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -1.28%E -0.328%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 14:50
Betclic (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -2.55%E -0.661%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 14:54
Marathon Bet3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -2.80%E -0.729%K -0.986%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 14:55
DraftKings3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -3.56%E -0.934%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 14:45
Coolbet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 14:55
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 14:55
BetAnything3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 14:55
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.88%E -7.28%K -40.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 14:55
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 14:42
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 14:50
ReBet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 14:50
Betr (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 14:55
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 14:50
NetBet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.39%E -5.96%K -30.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 14:55
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 14:50
Fanatics3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 14:50
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 14:51
Codere (IT)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 14:50
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 14:45
Fliff3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 14:45
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 14:45
1xBet3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -7.10%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.99%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 14:44
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 14:50
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 14:45
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 14:45
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 14:45
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 14:45
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 14:45
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 14:45
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 14:45
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-18 14:45
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 14:50
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-18 14:45
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 14:45
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 14:45
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 14:45
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 14:45
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 14:45
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 14:45
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 14:45
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 14:45
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 14:45
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 14:45
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 14:45
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 14:45
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -2.16%E -1.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 14:45
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-18 14:42
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -15.20%E -4.54%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.91%E -2.24%K -9.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 14:45
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -15.20%E -4.54%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.91%E -2.24%K -9.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 14:45
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -16.47%E -4.99%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-18 14:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-05-18 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-05-18 14:45
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-05-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-05-18 14:55
Novig4.27I 23.42%NM 22.78%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.22%2.8%2026-05-18 14:55