Langue:Français
Marcos Giron v Ben Shelton
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Marcos Giron (Local)
Prévision 25.31%3.95cote équitable
EV +5.30%
Avantage +1.27%
Kelly +1.68%
Croissance +0.089%
avec la cote maximale 4.16
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.11%25.36%25.50%27.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.633.654.1630.30%27.51%27.40%24.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Ben Shelton (Visiteur)
Prévision 74.69%1.34cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -4.42%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.32
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.03%74.64%74.50%76.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.221.281.271.3281.97%78.10%78.74%75.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Marcos Giron (Local) : 25.31% ; Ben Shelton (Visiteur) : 74.69%. Pour Marcos Giron (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.95. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.16, soit une espérance positive de +5.30%.
Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +5.30%E +1.27%K +1.68%G +0.089% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +5.30%E +1.27%K +1.68%G +0.089% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.25%E +0.313%K +0.417%G +0.005% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.81%EV -1.03%E -0.263%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.19%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -1.28%E -0.328%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-18 14:51 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.28%E -0.328%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -1.28%E -0.328%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -2.55%E -0.661%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-18 14:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -2.80%E -0.729%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -3.56%E -0.934%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.88%E -7.28%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-18 14:42 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.39%E -5.96%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 14:51 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -7.10%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.99%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 14:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -2.16%E -1.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-18 14:42 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -15.20%E -4.54%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.91%E -2.24%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -15.20%E -4.54%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.91%E -2.24%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -16.47%E -4.99%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 1.4% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.78% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.22% | 2.8% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |