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Marcos Giron v Ben Shelton
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Marcos Giron (Хозяева)
Прогноз 25.31%3.95справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.30%
Преимущество +1.27%
Kelly +1.68%
Рост +0.089%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.16
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.11%25.36%25.50%27.97%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.633.654.1630.30%27.51%27.40%24.04%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ben Shelton (Гости)
Прогноз 74.69%1.34справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.41%
Преимущество -1.07%
Kelly -4.42%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.32
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
72.03%74.64%74.50%76.89%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.221.281.271.3281.97%78.10%78.74%75.76%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Marcos Giron (Хозяева): 25.31%; Ben Shelton (Гости): 74.69%. Для исхода «Marcos Giron (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.95. 3 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.16, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +5.30%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (59 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +5.30%E +1.27%K +1.68%G +0.089% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +5.30%E +1.27%K +1.68%G +0.089% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.25%E +0.313%K +0.417%G +0.005% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.81%EV -1.03%E -0.263%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.19%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -1.28%E -0.328%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-18 14:51 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.28%E -0.328%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -1.28%E -0.328%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -2.55%E -0.661%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-18 14:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -2.80%E -0.729%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -3.56%E -0.934%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.88%E -7.28%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-18 14:42 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.39%E -5.96%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 14:51 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -7.10%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.99%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 14:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -2.16%E -1.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-18 14:42 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -15.20%E -4.54%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.91%E -2.24%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -15.20%E -4.54%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.91%E -2.24%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -16.47%E -4.99%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 1.4% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.78% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.22% | 2.8% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |