A Escola das Odds

Marcos Giron v Ben Shelton

Início: 2026-05-18 15:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Marcos Giron (Local)

Previsão 25.31%3.95odd justa
EV +5.30%
Vantagem +1.27%
Kelly +1.68%
Crescimento +0.089%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.11%25.36%25.50%27.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.633.654.1630.30%27.51%27.40%24.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ben Shelton (Visitante)

Previsão 74.69%1.34odd justa
EV -1.41%
Vantagem -1.07%
Kelly -4.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.03%74.64%74.50%76.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.221.281.271.3281.97%78.10%78.74%75.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +5.30%E +1.27%K +1.68%G +0.089%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 14:45
BetOnline.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +5.30%E +1.27%K +1.68%G +0.089%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 14:45
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.25%E +0.313%K +0.417%G +0.005%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 14:50
Pinnacle3.91I 25.58%NM 24.81%EV -1.03%E -0.263%K -0.353%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.19%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-18 14:45
Winamax (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -1.28%E -0.328%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-18 14:51
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.28%E -0.328%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 14:50
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -1.28%E -0.328%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 14:50
Betclic (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -2.55%E -0.661%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 14:54
Marathon Bet3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -2.80%E -0.729%K -0.986%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 14:55
DraftKings3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -3.56%E -0.934%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 14:45
Coolbet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 14:55
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 14:55
BetAnything3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 14:55
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.88%E -7.28%K -40.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 14:55
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 14:42
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 14:50
ReBet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 14:50
Betr (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 14:55
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 14:50
NetBet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.39%E -5.96%K -30.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 14:55
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 14:50
Fanatics3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 14:50
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 14:51
Codere (IT)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 14:50
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 14:45
Fliff3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 14:45
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 14:45
1xBet3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -7.10%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.99%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 14:44
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 14:50
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 14:45
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 14:45
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 14:45
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 14:45
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 14:45
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 14:45
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 14:45
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-18 14:45
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 14:50
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-18 14:45
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 14:45
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 14:45
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 14:45
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 14:45
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 14:45
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 14:45
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 14:45
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 14:45
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 14:45
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 14:45
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 14:45
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 14:45
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -2.16%E -1.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 14:45
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-18 14:42
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -15.20%E -4.54%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.91%E -2.24%K -9.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 14:45
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -15.20%E -4.54%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.91%E -2.24%K -9.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 14:45
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -16.47%E -4.99%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-18 14:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-05-18 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-05-18 14:45
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-05-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-05-18 14:55
Novig4.27I 23.42%NM 22.78%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.22%2.8%2026-05-18 14:55