La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Marcos Giron v Ben Shelton
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Marcos Giron (Local)
Predicción 25.31%3.95momio equitativo
EV +5.30%
Ventaja +1.27%
Kelly +1.68%
Crecimiento +0.089%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.11%25.36%25.50%27.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.633.654.1630.30%27.51%27.40%24.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ben Shelton (Visitante)
Predicción 74.69%1.34momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -4.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.03%74.64%74.50%76.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.281.271.3281.97%78.10%78.74%75.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +5.30%E +1.27%K +1.68%G +0.089% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +5.30%E +1.27%K +1.68%G +0.089% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.25%E +0.313%K +0.417%G +0.005% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| Pinnacle | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.81%EV -1.03%E -0.263%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.19%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -1.28%E -0.328%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-18 14:51 |
| FanDuel | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.28%E -0.328%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| SportsBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -1.28%E -0.328%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -2.55%E -0.661%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-18 14:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -2.80%E -0.729%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| DraftKings | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -3.56%E -0.934%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Coolbet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| Bet Right | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| BetAnything | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.88%E -7.28%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| Bovada | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-18 14:42 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| ReBet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.39%E -5.96%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| NordicBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| Fanatics | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| Betsson | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 14:51 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| BetMGM | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Fliff | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Coral | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| 1xBet | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -7.10%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.99%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 14:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| 888sport | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.15%E -4.05%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Neds | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| theScore Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| BoyleSports | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.89%E -4.68%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-18 14:50 |
| Everygame | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Unibet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| TABtouch | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Casumo | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Grosvenor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| BetRivers | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| LeoVegas | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| betPARX | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Bally Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.41%E -1.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -2.16%E -1.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Bet Victor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.94%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-18 14:42 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -15.20%E -4.54%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.91%E -2.24%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -15.20%E -4.54%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.91%E -2.24%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -16.47%E -4.99%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -4.40%E -3.44%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-05-18 14:45 |
| Matchbook | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 1.4% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |
| Novig | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.78% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.22% | 2.8% | 2026-05-18 14:55 |