StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Kamil Majchrzak v Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Matchstart: 2026-05-18 10:10 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

61 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Kamil Majchrzak (Hemma)

Prognos 36.20%2.76rättvist odds
EV +0.993%
Fördel +0.356%
Kelly +0.555%
Tillväxt +0.006%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.79

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
34.52%36.17%36.22%37.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.482.602.602.7940.32%38.51%38.46%35.84%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Borta)

Prognos 63.80%1.57rättvist odds
EV -4.30%
Fördel -2.86%
Kelly -8.59%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
62.50%63.83%63.78%65.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.421.481.481.5070.42%67.67%67.57%66.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Kamil Majchrzak (Hemma): 36.20%; Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Borta): 63.80%. För Kamil Majchrzak (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.76. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.79, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.993%.

Spelbolagsodds (61 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV +0.993%E +0.356%K +0.555%G +0.006%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-18 10:05
BetAnything🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV +0.631%E +0.227%K +0.354%G +0.002%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 10:04
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.455%E -0.165%K -0.260%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 10:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -1.54%E -0.567%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 10:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -1.54%E -0.567%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 10:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.26%E -0.839%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-18 10:05
Coolbet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.35%E -1.26%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 10:05
FanDuel🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -3.71%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 10:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-18 10:05
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-18 10:02
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-18 10:04
ReBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 09:59
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 10:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 09:59
SportsBet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.29%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.71%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 10:05
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.80%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
Bally Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.80%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:04
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.16%E -1.97%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 09:59
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.16%E -1.97%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 10:05
DraftKings🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.19%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.81%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 10:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:02
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 10:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 10:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 10:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 09:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 10:05
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 10:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 10:05
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 10:00
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.85%E -4.69%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 10:01
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 09:58
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 10:05
Everygame🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 09:58
NetBet (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -6.97%E -2.71%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 09:58
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 10:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 10:05
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 10:05
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 10:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 10:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 10:05
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 10:05
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 10:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 10:05
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 10:05
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 10:05
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 10:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 10:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 10:05
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 10:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 10:05
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 10:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-18 10:06
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-18 10:05
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-18 10:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.41%EV -10.23%E -4.12%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.59%EV -9.40%E -6.62%K -22.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-18 10:05
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%0.1%2026-05-18 10:05
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%0.1%2026-05-18 10:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-05-18 10:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-05-18 10:05
Smarkets2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13%1.7%2026-05-18 10:05
Novig2.71I 36.90%NM 35.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.37%3.6%2026-05-18 10:06