Die Wettquotenschule

Kamil Majchrzak v Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-18 10:10 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Kamil Majchrzak (Heim)

Prognose 36.20%2.76faire Quote
EV +0.993%
Vorteil +0.356%
Kelly +0.555%
Wachstum +0.006%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.79

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
34.52%36.17%36.22%37.50%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.482.602.602.7940.32%38.51%38.46%35.84%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Auswärts)

Prognose 63.80%1.57faire Quote
EV -4.30%
Vorteil -2.86%
Kelly -8.59%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
62.50%63.83%63.78%65.48%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.421.481.481.5070.42%67.67%67.57%66.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV +0.993%E +0.356%K +0.555%G +0.006%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-18 10:05
BetAnything2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV +0.631%E +0.227%K +0.354%G +0.002%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 10:04
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.455%E -0.165%K -0.260%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 10:05
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -1.54%E -0.567%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 10:05
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -1.54%E -0.567%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 10:05
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.26%E -0.839%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-18 10:05
Coolbet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.35%E -1.26%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 10:05
FanDuel2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -3.71%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 10:05
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-18 10:05
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-18 10:02
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-18 10:04
ReBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 09:59
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 10:05
Marathon Bet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 09:59
SportsBet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.29%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.71%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 10:05
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.80%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
Bally Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.80%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:04
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.16%E -1.97%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 09:59
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.16%E -1.97%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 10:05
DraftKings2.61I 38.31%NM 36.19%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.81%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 10:05
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:02
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 10:05
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 10:05
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 10:05
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 09:59
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 10:05
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 10:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 10:05
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 10:00
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.85%E -4.69%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 10:01
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 09:58
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 10:05
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 09:58
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -6.97%E -2.71%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 09:58
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 10:05
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 10:05
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 10:05
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 10:05
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 10:05
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 10:05
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 10:05
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 10:05
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 10:05
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 10:05
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 10:05
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 10:05
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 10:05
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 10:05
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 10:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 10:05
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 10:05
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-18 10:06
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-18 10:05
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-18 10:05
PMU (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.41%EV -10.23%E -4.12%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.59%EV -9.40%E -6.62%K -22.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-18 10:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%0.1%2026-05-18 10:05
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%0.1%2026-05-18 10:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-05-18 10:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-05-18 10:05
Smarkets2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13%1.7%2026-05-18 10:05
Novig2.71I 36.90%NM 35.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.37%3.6%2026-05-18 10:06