مدرسة الاحتمالات

Kamil Majchrzak v Camilo Ugo Carabelli

البداية: 2026-05-18 10:10 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Kamil Majchrzak (المضيف)

التنبؤ 36.20%2.76السعر العادل
EV +0.993%
الأفضلية +0.356%
Kelly +0.555%
النمو +0.006%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.79

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.52%36.17%36.22%37.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.482.602.602.7940.32%38.51%38.46%35.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (الضيف)

التنبؤ 63.80%1.57السعر العادل
EV -4.30%
الأفضلية -2.86%
Kelly -8.59%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
62.50%63.83%63.78%65.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.421.481.481.5070.42%67.67%67.57%66.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV +0.993%E +0.356%K +0.555%G +0.006%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-18 10:05
BetAnything2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV +0.631%E +0.227%K +0.354%G +0.002%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 10:04
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.455%E -0.165%K -0.260%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 10:05
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -1.54%E -0.567%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 10:05
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -1.54%E -0.567%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 10:05
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.26%E -0.839%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-18 10:05
Coolbet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.35%E -1.26%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 10:05
FanDuel2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -3.71%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 10:05
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-18 10:05
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-18 10:02
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-18 10:04
ReBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 09:59
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 10:05
Marathon Bet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 09:59
SportsBet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.29%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.71%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 10:05
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.80%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
Bally Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.80%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:04
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.16%E -1.97%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 09:59
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.16%E -1.97%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 10:05
DraftKings2.61I 38.31%NM 36.19%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.81%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 10:05
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:02
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 10:05
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 10:05
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 10:05
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 09:59
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 10:05
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 10:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 10:05
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 10:00
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.85%E -4.69%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 10:01
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 09:58
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 10:05
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 09:58
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -6.97%E -2.71%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 09:58
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 10:05
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 10:05
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 10:05
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 10:05
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 10:05
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 10:05
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 10:05
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 10:05
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 10:05
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 10:05
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 10:05
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 10:05
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 10:05
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 10:05
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 10:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 10:05
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 10:05
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-18 10:06
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-18 10:05
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-18 10:05
PMU (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.41%EV -10.23%E -4.12%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.59%EV -9.40%E -6.62%K -22.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-18 10:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%0.1%2026-05-18 10:05
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%0.1%2026-05-18 10:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-05-18 10:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-05-18 10:05
Smarkets2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13%1.7%2026-05-18 10:05
Novig2.71I 36.90%NM 35.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.37%3.6%2026-05-18 10:06