La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Kamil Majchrzak v Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Kamil Majchrzak (Local)
Predicción 36.20%2.76momio equitativo
EV +0.993%
Ventaja +0.356%
Kelly +0.555%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.52%36.17%36.22%37.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.482.602.602.7940.32%38.51%38.46%35.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Visitante)
Predicción 63.80%1.57momio equitativo
EV -4.30%
Ventaja -2.86%
Kelly -8.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.50%63.83%63.78%65.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.481.481.5070.42%67.67%67.57%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV +0.993%E +0.356%K +0.555%G +0.006% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| BetAnything | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV +0.631%E +0.227%K +0.354%G +0.002% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-18 10:04 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.455%E -0.165%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -1.54%E -0.567%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -1.54%E -0.567%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.26%E -0.839%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.35%E -1.26%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -3.71%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Bovada | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-18 10:02 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-18 10:04 |
| ReBet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 09:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 09:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.29%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.71%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Unibet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.80%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Bally Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.80%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 10:04 |
| 1xBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.16%E -1.97%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 09:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.16%E -1.97%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.19%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.81%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Casumo | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 10:02 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| betPARX | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 09:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 10:00 |
| TAB | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.85%E -4.69%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 10:01 |
| Bet Victor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-18 09:58 |
| theScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Everygame | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-18 09:58 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -6.97%E -2.71%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-18 09:58 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| BetRivers | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Betsson | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-18 10:06 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Fliff | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.41%EV -10.23%E -4.12%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.59%EV -9.40%E -6.62%K -22.38%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84% | 0.1% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84% | 0.1% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13% | 1.7% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Novig | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.63% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.37% | 3.6% | 2026-05-18 10:06 |