Szkoła Kursów

Kamil Majchrzak v Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Początek: 2026-05-18 10:10 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

61 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Kamil Majchrzak (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 36.20%2.76kurs godziwy
EV +0.993%
Przewaga +0.356%
Kelly +0.555%
Wzrost +0.006%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.79

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.52%36.17%36.22%37.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.482.602.602.7940.32%38.51%38.46%35.84%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Goście)

Prognoza 63.80%1.57kurs godziwy
EV -4.30%
Przewaga -2.86%
Kelly -8.59%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
62.50%63.83%63.78%65.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.421.481.481.5070.42%67.67%67.57%66.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV +0.993%E +0.356%K +0.555%G +0.006%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-18 10:05
BetAnything2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV +0.631%E +0.227%K +0.354%G +0.002%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 10:04
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.455%E -0.165%K -0.260%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 10:05
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -1.54%E -0.567%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 10:05
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -1.54%E -0.567%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 10:05
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.26%E -0.839%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-18 10:05
Coolbet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.35%E -1.26%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 10:05
FanDuel2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -3.71%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 10:05
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-18 10:05
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-18 10:02
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-18 10:04
ReBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 09:59
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 10:05
Marathon Bet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 09:59
SportsBet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.29%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.71%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 10:05
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.80%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
Bally Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.80%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:04
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.16%E -1.97%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 09:59
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.16%E -1.97%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 10:05
DraftKings2.61I 38.31%NM 36.19%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.81%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 10:05
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:02
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 10:05
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 10:05
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 10:05
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 10:05
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 09:59
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 10:05
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 10:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 10:05
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 10:00
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.85%E -4.69%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 10:01
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 09:58
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 10:05
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 09:58
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -6.97%E -2.71%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 09:58
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 10:05
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 10:05
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 10:05
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 10:05
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 10:05
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 10:05
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 10:05
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 10:05
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 10:05
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 10:05
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 10:05
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 10:05
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 10:05
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 10:05
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 10:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 10:05
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 10:05
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-18 10:06
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-18 10:05
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-18 10:05
PMU (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.41%EV -10.23%E -4.12%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.59%EV -9.40%E -6.62%K -22.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-18 10:05
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%0.1%2026-05-18 10:05
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%0.1%2026-05-18 10:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-05-18 10:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-05-18 10:05
Smarkets2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13%1.7%2026-05-18 10:05
Novig2.71I 36.90%NM 35.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.37%3.6%2026-05-18 10:06