L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Kamil Majchrzak v Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Kamil Majchrzak (Local)
Prévision 36.20%2.76cote équitable
EV +0.993%
Avantage +0.356%
Kelly +0.555%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 2.79
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.52%36.17%36.22%37.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.482.602.602.7940.32%38.51%38.46%35.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Visiteur)
Prévision 63.80%1.57cote équitable
EV -4.30%
Avantage -2.86%
Kelly -8.59%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.50%63.83%63.78%65.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.481.481.5070.42%67.67%67.57%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV +0.993%E +0.356%K +0.555%G +0.006% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| BetAnything | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV +0.631%E +0.227%K +0.354%G +0.002% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-18 10:04 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.455%E -0.165%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -1.54%E -0.567%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -1.54%E -0.567%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.26%E -0.839%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.35%E -1.26%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -3.71%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Bovada | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-18 10:02 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-18 10:04 |
| ReBet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 09:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 09:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.29%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.71%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Unibet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.80%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Bally Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.80%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.94%E -3.31%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 10:04 |
| 1xBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.16%E -1.97%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 09:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.16%E -1.97%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.19%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.81%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Casumo | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 10:02 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| betPARX | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 09:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 10:00 |
| TAB | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.85%E -4.69%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 10:01 |
| Bet Victor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-18 09:58 |
| theScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Everygame | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-18 09:58 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -6.97%E -2.71%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-18 09:58 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| BetRivers | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Betsson | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.21%E -4.23%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.57%E -3.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.49%E -5.16%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-18 10:06 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Fliff | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.13%E -5.64%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.41%EV -10.23%E -4.12%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.59%EV -9.40%E -6.62%K -22.38%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84% | 0.1% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84% | 0.1% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13% | 1.7% | 2026-05-18 10:05 |
| Novig | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.63% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.37% | 3.6% | 2026-05-18 10:06 |