Language:English
Jakub Mensik v Jan-Lennard Struff
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jakub Mensik (Local)
Prediction 73.56%1.36fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -6.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.74%73.59%73.68%75.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.281.271.3381.97%78.40%78.74%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jan-Lennard Struff (Visit)
Prediction 26.44%3.78fair odd
EV +3.11%
Edge +0.798%
Kelly +1.07%
Growth +0.033%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.30%26.41%26.32%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.633.703.9030.77%27.53%27.03%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jakub Mensik (Local): 73.56%; Jan-Lennard Struff (Visit): 26.44%. For Jan-Lennard Struff (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.78. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.11%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV +3.11%E +0.798%K +1.07%G +0.033% | 3.2% | 2026-05-18 17:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -7.31%E -5.80%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV +1.53%E +0.397%K +0.537%G +0.008% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 17:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +0.469%E +0.123%K +0.167%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -10.26%E -8.41%K -46.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV +0.469%E +0.123%K +0.167%G +0.001% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 17:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-18 17:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-18 16:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.31%E -5.80%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.31%E -5.80%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-18 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-18 16:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-18 17:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 17:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -8.78%E -7.08%K -36.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-18 17:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.50%E -0.958%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-18 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.50%E -0.958%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.50%E -0.958%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -9.52%E -7.74%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -3.50%E -0.958%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-18 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.31%E -5.80%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 17:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.31%E -5.80%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -2.16%E -1.63%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-18 17:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -8.78%E -7.08%K -36.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-18 17:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-18 17:28 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-18 17:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%EV -3.64%E -2.77%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.41%EV -8.26%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 17:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.90%E -2.20%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-18 17:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-18 17:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-18 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.64%E -2.77%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-18 17:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-18 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 17:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -14.07%E -4.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-18 17:43 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-05-18 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-05-18 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-05-18 17:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-05-18 17:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39% | 2.3% | 2026-05-18 17:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24% | 3.1% | 2026-05-18 17:40 |