Langue:Français
Jakub Mensik v Jan-Lennard Struff
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Jakub Mensik (Local)
Prévision 73.56%1.36cote équitable
EV -2.16%
Avantage -1.63%
Kelly -6.56%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.74%73.59%73.68%75.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.221.281.271.3381.97%78.40%78.74%75.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Jan-Lennard Struff (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.44%3.78cote équitable
EV +3.11%
Avantage +0.798%
Kelly +1.07%
Croissance +0.033%
avec la cote maximale 3.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.30%26.41%26.32%28.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.633.703.9030.77%27.53%27.03%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jakub Mensik (Local) : 73.56% ; Jan-Lennard Struff (Visiteur) : 26.44%. Pour Jan-Lennard Struff (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.78. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.90, soit une espérance positive de +3.11%.
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV +3.11%E +0.798%K +1.07%G +0.033% | 3.2% | 2026-05-18 17:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -7.31%E -5.80%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV +1.53%E +0.397%K +0.537%G +0.008% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 17:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +0.469%E +0.123%K +0.167%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -10.26%E -8.41%K -46.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV +0.469%E +0.123%K +0.167%G +0.001% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 17:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-18 17:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-18 16:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.31%E -5.80%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.31%E -5.80%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-18 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-18 16:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-18 17:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 17:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -8.78%E -7.08%K -36.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-18 17:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.50%E -0.958%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-18 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.50%E -0.958%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.50%E -0.958%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -9.52%E -7.74%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -3.50%E -0.958%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-18 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-18 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.31%E -5.80%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 17:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.31%E -5.80%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -2.16%E -1.63%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-18 17:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -8.78%E -7.08%K -36.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-18 17:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-18 17:28 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-18 17:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%EV -3.64%E -2.77%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.41%EV -8.26%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 17:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.90%E -2.20%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-18 17:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-18 17:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-18 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.64%E -2.77%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-18 17:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-18 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 17:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -14.07%E -4.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-18 17:43 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-05-18 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-05-18 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-05-18 17:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-05-18 17:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39% | 2.3% | 2026-05-18 17:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24% | 3.1% | 2026-05-18 17:40 |