Die Wettquotenschule

Jakub Mensik v Jan-Lennard Struff

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-18 17:50 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Jakub Mensik (Heim)

Prognose 73.56%1.36faire Quote
EV -2.16%
Vorteil -1.63%
Kelly -6.56%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.33

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
71.74%73.59%73.68%75.70%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.221.281.271.3381.97%78.40%78.74%75.19%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Jan-Lennard Struff (Auswärts)

Prognose 26.44%3.78faire Quote
EV +3.11%
Vorteil +0.798%
Kelly +1.07%
Wachstum +0.033%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.90

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.30%26.41%26.32%28.26%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.253.633.703.9030.77%27.53%27.03%25.64%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV +3.11%E +0.798%K +1.07%G +0.033%3.2%2026-05-18 17:05
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -7.31%E -5.80%K -28.13%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV +1.53%E +0.397%K +0.537%G +0.008%5.4%2026-05-18 17:05
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +0.469%E +0.123%K +0.167%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-18 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -10.26%E -8.41%K -46.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV +0.469%E +0.123%K +0.167%G +0.001%8.3%2026-05-18 17:35
BetAnything1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 16:45
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 17:45
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 16:44
ReBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 17:30
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
LeoVegas1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.31%E -5.80%K -28.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 17:30
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.31%E -5.80%K -28.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 17:30
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 16:55
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 16:55
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 17:44
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 17:00
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 17:05
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 16:45
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 17:10
NetBet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -8.78%E -7.08%K -36.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-18 17:05
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.50%E -0.958%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 17:10
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.50%E -0.958%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 17:30
Codere (IT)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.50%E -0.958%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 17:30
PMU (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -9.52%E -7.74%K -41.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -3.50%E -0.958%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 17:30
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.31%E -5.80%K -28.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 17:05
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.31%E -5.80%K -28.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 17:05
Winamax (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -2.16%E -1.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-18 17:45
Fliff1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -8.78%E -7.08%K -36.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 17:45
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 16:45
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 16:45
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 16:45
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 16:45
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 16:45
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 16:45
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-18 17:28
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-18 16:45
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-18 17:45
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-18 16:45
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%EV -3.64%E -2.77%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.41%EV -8.26%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 17:45
Unibet (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.90%E -2.20%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 17:45
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 17:45
theScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 17:40
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.64%E -2.77%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 17:45
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-18 17:40
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 17:40
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 17:40
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 17:45
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -14.07%E -4.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-18 17:43
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-05-18 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-05-18 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-05-18 17:35
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-05-18 17:45
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%2.3%2026-05-18 17:45
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%3.1%2026-05-18 17:40