La scuola delle quote

Jakub Mensik v Jan-Lennard Struff

Inizio: 2026-05-18 17:50 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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62 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Jakub Mensik (Casa)

Previsione 73.56%1.36quota equa
EV -2.16%
Vantaggio -1.63%
Kelly -6.56%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.74%73.59%73.68%75.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.281.271.3381.97%78.40%78.74%75.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jan-Lennard Struff (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.44%3.78quota equa
EV +3.11%
Vantaggio +0.798%
Kelly +1.07%
Crescita +0.033%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.30%26.41%26.32%28.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.633.703.9030.77%27.53%27.03%25.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV +3.11%E +0.798%K +1.07%G +0.033%3.2%2026-05-18 17:05
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -7.31%E -5.80%K -28.13%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV +1.53%E +0.397%K +0.537%G +0.008%5.4%2026-05-18 17:05
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +0.469%E +0.123%K +0.167%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-18 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -10.26%E -8.41%K -46.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV +0.469%E +0.123%K +0.167%G +0.001%8.3%2026-05-18 17:35
BetAnything1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 16:45
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 17:45
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 16:44
ReBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 17:30
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
LeoVegas1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.31%E -5.80%K -28.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 17:30
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.31%E -5.80%K -28.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 17:30
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 16:55
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 16:55
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 17:44
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 17:00
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 17:05
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 16:45
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 17:10
NetBet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -8.78%E -7.08%K -36.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-18 17:05
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.50%E -0.958%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 17:10
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.50%E -0.958%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 17:30
Codere (IT)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.50%E -0.958%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 17:30
PMU (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -9.52%E -7.74%K -41.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -3.50%E -0.958%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 17:30
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.31%E -5.80%K -28.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 17:05
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.31%E -5.80%K -28.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 17:05
Winamax (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -2.16%E -1.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-18 17:45
Fliff1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -8.78%E -7.08%K -36.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 17:45
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 16:45
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 16:45
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 16:45
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 16:45
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 16:45
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 16:45
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-18 17:28
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-18 16:45
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-18 17:45
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-18 16:45
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%EV -3.64%E -2.77%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.41%EV -8.26%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 17:45
Unibet (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.90%E -2.20%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 17:45
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 17:45
theScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 17:40
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.64%E -2.77%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 17:45
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-18 17:40
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 17:40
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 17:40
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 17:45
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -14.07%E -4.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-18 17:43
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-05-18 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-05-18 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-05-18 17:35
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-05-18 17:45
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%2.3%2026-05-18 17:45
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%3.1%2026-05-18 17:40