Szkoła Kursów

Jakub Mensik v Jan-Lennard Struff

Początek: 2026-05-18 17:50 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

62 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Jakub Mensik (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 73.56%1.36kurs godziwy
EV -2.16%
Przewaga -1.63%
Kelly -6.56%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.33

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
71.74%73.59%73.68%75.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.221.281.271.3381.97%78.40%78.74%75.19%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Jan-Lennard Struff (Goście)

Prognoza 26.44%3.78kurs godziwy
EV +3.11%
Przewaga +0.798%
Kelly +1.07%
Wzrost +0.033%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.90

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.30%26.41%26.32%28.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.253.633.703.9030.77%27.53%27.03%25.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV +3.11%E +0.798%K +1.07%G +0.033%3.2%2026-05-18 17:05
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -7.31%E -5.80%K -28.13%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV +1.53%E +0.397%K +0.537%G +0.008%5.4%2026-05-18 17:05
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +0.469%E +0.123%K +0.167%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-18 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -10.26%E -8.41%K -46.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV +0.469%E +0.123%K +0.167%G +0.001%8.3%2026-05-18 17:35
BetAnything1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 16:45
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 17:45
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 16:44
ReBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 17:30
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
LeoVegas1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.31%E -5.80%K -28.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 17:30
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.31%E -5.80%K -28.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 17:30
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 16:55
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 16:55
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 17:44
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 17:00
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 17:05
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 16:45
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 17:10
NetBet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -8.78%E -7.08%K -36.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-18 17:05
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.50%E -0.958%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 17:10
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.50%E -0.958%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 17:30
Codere (IT)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.50%E -0.958%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 17:30
PMU (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -9.52%E -7.74%K -41.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -3.50%E -0.958%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 17:30
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.31%E -5.80%K -28.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 17:05
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.31%E -5.80%K -28.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 17:05
Winamax (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -2.16%E -1.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-18 17:45
Fliff1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -8.78%E -7.08%K -36.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 17:45
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 16:45
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 16:45
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 16:45
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 16:45
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 16:45
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 16:45
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-18 17:28
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-18 16:45
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-18 17:45
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-18 16:45
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%EV -3.64%E -2.77%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.41%EV -8.26%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 17:45
Unibet (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.90%E -2.20%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 17:45
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 17:45
theScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 17:40
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.64%E -2.77%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 17:45
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-18 17:40
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 17:40
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 17:40
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 17:45
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -14.07%E -4.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-18 17:43
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-05-18 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-05-18 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-05-18 17:35
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-05-18 17:45
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%2.3%2026-05-18 17:45
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%3.1%2026-05-18 17:40