StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jakub Mensik v Jan-Lennard Struff

Matchstart: 2026-05-18 17:50 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

62 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jakub Mensik (Hemma)

Prognos 73.56%1.36rättvist odds
EV -2.16%
Fördel -1.63%
Kelly -6.56%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.33

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
71.74%73.59%73.68%75.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.221.281.271.3381.97%78.40%78.74%75.19%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Jan-Lennard Struff (Borta)

Prognos 26.44%3.78rättvist odds
EV +3.11%
Fördel +0.798%
Kelly +1.07%
Tillväxt +0.033%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.30%26.41%26.32%28.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.253.633.703.9030.77%27.53%27.03%25.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jakub Mensik (Hemma): 73.56%; Jan-Lennard Struff (Borta): 26.44%. För Jan-Lennard Struff (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.78. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.90, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.11%.

Spelbolagsodds (62 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV +3.11%E +0.798%K +1.07%G +0.033%3.2%2026-05-18 17:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -7.31%E -5.80%K -28.13%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV +1.53%E +0.397%K +0.537%G +0.008%5.4%2026-05-18 17:05
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +0.469%E +0.123%K +0.167%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-18 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -10.26%E -8.41%K -46.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV +0.469%E +0.123%K +0.167%G +0.001%8.3%2026-05-18 17:35
BetAnything🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 16:45
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 17:45
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 16:44
ReBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 17:30
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
LeoVegas🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.31%E -5.80%K -28.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.31%E -5.80%K -28.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -0.853%E -0.228%K -0.310%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 17:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 16:55
1xBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 17:44
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 17:00
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 17:05
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 16:45
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 17:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -8.78%E -7.08%K -36.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-18 17:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.50%E -0.958%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.50%E -0.958%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 17:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.58%E -5.18%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.50%E -0.958%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 17:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -9.52%E -7.74%K -41.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -3.50%E -0.958%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 17:30
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.31%E -5.80%K -28.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 17:05
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.31%E -5.80%K -28.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -2.16%E -1.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-18 17:45
Fliff🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -8.78%E -7.08%K -36.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 17:45
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 16:45
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 16:45
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 16:45
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 16:45
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-18 17:28
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-18 16:45
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-18 17:45
Everygame🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-18 16:45
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%EV -3.64%E -2.77%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.41%EV -8.26%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.90%E -2.20%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 17:45
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 17:45
theScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 17:40
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.64%E -2.77%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 17:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.11%E -3.96%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-18 17:40
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 17:40
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.37%E -3.36%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 17:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -14.07%E -4.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-18 17:43
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-05-18 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-05-18 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-05-18 17:35
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-05-18 17:45
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%2.3%2026-05-18 17:45
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%3.1%2026-05-18 17:40