语言:简体中文
Aleksandar Kovacevic v Camilo Ugo Carabelli
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Aleksandar Kovacevic (主队)
预测 31.37%3.19公平赔率
EV +1.94%
优势 +0.598%
Kelly +0.864%
增长率 +0.017%
假设最高赔率为 3.25
博彩公司预测分布
29.65%31.40%31.48%33.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.802.953.003.2535.71%33.85%33.33%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (客队)
预测 68.63%1.46公平赔率
EV -1.17%
优势 -0.812%
Kelly -2.66%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.44
博彩公司预测分布
66.04%68.60%68.52%70.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.321.391.401.4475.76%71.80%71.68%69.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Aleksandar Kovacevic (主队)：31.37%；Camilo Ugo Carabelli (客队)：68.63%。 对于“Aleksandar Kovacevic (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.19。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.25，对应+1.94%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV +1.94%E +0.598%K +0.864%G +0.017% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -5.97%E -4.36%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +0.376%E +0.118%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-21 14:56 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV -1.19%E -0.379%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%EV -3.23%E -2.29%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.97%E -4.36%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.35%E -5.44%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -9.41%E -7.13%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -3.39%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -3.39%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -8.03%E -5.99%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -4.02%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -4.60%E -3.31%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.60%E -3.31%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.60%E -3.31%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.64%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 14:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.97%E -4.36%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.35%E -5.44%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.35%E -5.44%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.35%E -5.44%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.35%E -5.44%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.72%E -6.56%K -26.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.60%E -3.31%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.66%E -3.35%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-21 14:51 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.17%E -0.812%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.17%E -0.812%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.17%E -0.812%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.17%E -0.812%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.45% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.55% | 2.0% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41% | 2.2% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |