Lingua:Italiano
Aleksandar Kovacevic v Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Aleksandar Kovacevic (Casa)
Previsione 31.37%3.19quota equa
EV +1.94%
Vantaggio +0.598%
Kelly +0.864%
Crescita +0.017%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.65%31.40%31.48%33.96%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.802.953.003.2535.71%33.85%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Trasferta)
Previsione 68.63%1.46quota equa
EV -1.17%
Vantaggio -0.812%
Kelly -2.66%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.44
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.04%68.60%68.52%70.35%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.391.401.4475.76%71.80%71.68%69.44%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Aleksandar Kovacevic (Casa): 31.37%; Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Trasferta): 68.63%. Per Aleksandar Kovacevic (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.19. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.25, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.94%.
Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV +1.94%E +0.598%K +0.864%G +0.017% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -5.97%E -4.36%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +0.376%E +0.118%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-21 14:56 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV -1.19%E -0.379%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%EV -3.23%E -2.29%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.97%E -4.36%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.35%E -5.44%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -9.41%E -7.13%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -3.39%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -3.39%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -8.03%E -5.99%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -4.02%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -4.60%E -3.31%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.60%E -3.31%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.60%E -3.31%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.64%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 14:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.97%E -4.36%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.35%E -5.44%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.35%E -5.44%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.35%E -5.44%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.35%E -5.44%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.72%E -6.56%K -26.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.60%E -3.31%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.66%E -3.35%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-21 14:51 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.17%E -0.812%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.17%E -0.812%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.17%E -0.812%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.17%E -0.812%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.45% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.55% | 2.0% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41% | 2.2% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |