Die Wettquotenschule

Aleksandar Kovacevic v Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-21 15:10 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Aleksandar Kovacevic (Heim)

Prognose 31.37%3.19faire Quote
EV +1.94%
Vorteil +0.598%
Kelly +0.864%
Wachstum +0.017%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.65%31.40%31.48%33.96%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.802.953.003.2535.71%33.85%33.33%30.77%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Auswärts)

Prognose 68.63%1.46faire Quote
EV -1.17%
Vorteil -0.812%
Kelly -2.66%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.44

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
66.04%68.60%68.52%70.35%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.321.391.401.4475.76%71.80%71.68%69.44%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV +1.94%E +0.598%K +0.864%G +0.017%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -5.97%E -4.36%K -16.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-21 15:00
Betclic (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +0.376%E +0.118%K +0.171%G +0.001%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-21 14:56
Pinnacle3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV -1.19%E -0.379%K -0.555%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%EV -3.23%E -2.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-21 14:59
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 14:59
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.97%E -4.36%K -16.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 14:59
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 15:00
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.35%E -5.44%K -20.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 15:00
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -9.41%E -7.13%K -29.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 15:00
DraftKings3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -3.39%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 15:00
SportsBet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -3.39%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -8.03%E -5.99%K -23.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 15:00
LowVig.ag3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 15:00
BetOnline.ag3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 15:00
1xBet3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -4.02%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -4.60%E -3.31%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 15:00
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 15:00
BetAnything3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.60%E -3.31%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 14:59
ReBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.60%E -3.31%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 15:00
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.64%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 15:00
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 14:58
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 14:59
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 15:00
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 15:00
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 15:00
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 15:00
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 15:00
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 15:00
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 15:00
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.97%E -4.36%K -16.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 15:00
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 15:00
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.35%E -5.44%K -20.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 15:00
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.35%E -5.44%K -20.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.35%E -5.44%K -20.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.35%E -5.44%K -20.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 15:00
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.72%E -6.56%K -26.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 15:00
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 15:00
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.60%E -3.31%K -11.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 15:00
Fliff2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 15:00
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 15:00
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 15:00
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 15:00
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 15:00
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 15:00
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 15:00
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 15:00
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 14:59
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.66%E -3.35%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-21 14:51
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.17%E -0.812%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 15:00
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.17%E -0.812%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 15:00
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.17%E -0.812%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 15:00
Hard Rock Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.17%E -0.812%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 14:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:00
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:00
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:00
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:00
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:00
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:00
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:00
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:00
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:00
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:00
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:00
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:00
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-05-21 15:00
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-05-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-05-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-05-21 15:00
Novig3.22I 31.06%NM 30.45%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.55%2.0%2026-05-21 14:59
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%2.2%2026-05-21 15:00