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Aleksandar Kovacevic v Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Aleksandar Kovacevic (Хозяева)
Прогноз 31.37%3.19справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.94%
Преимущество +0.598%
Kelly +0.864%
Рост +0.017%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.25
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.65%31.40%31.48%33.96%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.802.953.003.2535.71%33.85%33.33%30.77%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Гости)
Прогноз 68.63%1.46справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.17%
Преимущество -0.812%
Kelly -2.66%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.44
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
66.04%68.60%68.52%70.35%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.321.391.401.4475.76%71.80%71.68%69.44%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Aleksandar Kovacevic (Хозяева): 31.37%; Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Гости): 68.63%. Для исхода «Aleksandar Kovacevic (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.19. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.25, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.94%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (62 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV +1.94%E +0.598%K +0.864%G +0.017% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -5.97%E -4.36%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +0.376%E +0.118%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-21 14:56 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV -1.19%E -0.379%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%EV -3.23%E -2.29%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.97%E -4.36%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.35%E -5.44%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -9.41%E -7.13%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -3.39%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -3.39%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -8.03%E -5.99%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -4.02%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -4.60%E -3.31%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.60%E -3.31%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.60%E -3.31%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.64%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 14:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.97%E -4.36%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.35%E -5.44%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.35%E -5.44%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.35%E -5.44%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.35%E -5.44%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.72%E -6.56%K -26.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.60%E -3.31%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.66%E -3.35%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-21 14:51 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.17%E -0.812%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.17%E -0.812%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.17%E -0.812%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.17%E -0.812%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.45% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.55% | 2.0% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41% | 2.2% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |