مدرسة الاحتمالات

Aleksandar Kovacevic v Camilo Ugo Carabelli

البداية: 2026-05-21 15:10 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Aleksandar Kovacevic (المضيف)

التنبؤ 31.37%3.19السعر العادل
EV +1.94%
الأفضلية +0.598%
Kelly +0.864%
النمو +0.017%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.65%31.40%31.48%33.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.802.953.003.2535.71%33.85%33.33%30.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (الضيف)

التنبؤ 68.63%1.46السعر العادل
EV -1.17%
الأفضلية -0.812%
Kelly -2.66%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.44

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
66.04%68.60%68.52%70.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.321.391.401.4475.76%71.80%71.68%69.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV +1.94%E +0.598%K +0.864%G +0.017%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -5.97%E -4.36%K -16.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-21 15:00
Betclic (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +0.376%E +0.118%K +0.171%G +0.001%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-21 14:56
Pinnacle3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV -1.19%E -0.379%K -0.555%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%EV -3.23%E -2.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-21 14:59
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 14:59
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.97%E -4.36%K -16.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 14:59
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 15:00
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.35%E -5.44%K -20.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 15:00
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -9.41%E -7.13%K -29.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 15:00
DraftKings3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -3.39%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 15:00
SportsBet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -3.39%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -8.03%E -5.99%K -23.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 15:00
LowVig.ag3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 15:00
BetOnline.ag3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 15:00
1xBet3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -4.02%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -4.60%E -3.31%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 15:00
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 15:00
BetAnything3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.60%E -3.31%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 14:59
ReBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.60%E -3.31%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 15:00
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.64%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 15:00
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 14:58
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 14:59
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 15:00
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 15:00
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 15:00
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 15:00
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 15:00
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 15:00
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 15:00
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.97%E -4.36%K -16.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 15:00
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 15:00
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.35%E -5.44%K -20.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 15:00
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.35%E -5.44%K -20.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.35%E -5.44%K -20.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.35%E -5.44%K -20.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 15:00
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.72%E -6.56%K -26.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 15:00
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 15:00
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.60%E -3.31%K -11.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 15:00
Fliff2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 15:00
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 15:00
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 15:00
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 15:00
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 15:00
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 15:00
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 15:00
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 15:00
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 14:59
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.66%E -3.35%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-21 14:51
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.17%E -0.812%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 15:00
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.17%E -0.812%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 15:00
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.17%E -0.812%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 15:00
Hard Rock Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.17%E -0.812%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 14:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:00
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:00
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:00
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:00
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:00
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:00
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:00
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:00
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:00
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:00
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:00
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:00
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-05-21 15:00
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-05-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-05-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-05-21 15:00
Novig3.22I 31.06%NM 30.45%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.55%2.0%2026-05-21 14:59
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%2.2%2026-05-21 15:00