La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Aleksandar Kovacevic v Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local)
Predicción 31.37%3.19momio equitativo
EV +1.94%
Ventaja +0.598%
Kelly +0.864%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.65%31.40%31.48%33.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.953.003.2535.71%33.85%33.33%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Visitante)
Predicción 68.63%1.46momio equitativo
EV -1.17%
Ventaja -0.812%
Kelly -2.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.04%68.60%68.52%70.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.391.401.4475.76%71.80%71.68%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV +1.94%E +0.598%K +0.864%G +0.017% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -5.97%E -4.36%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +0.376%E +0.118%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-21 14:56 |
| Pinnacle | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV -1.19%E -0.379%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%EV -3.23%E -2.29%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| Bovada | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.97%E -4.36%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.35%E -5.44%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -9.41%E -7.13%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -3.39%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -3.39%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -8.03%E -5.99%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| 1xBet | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -4.02%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -4.60%E -3.31%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| BetAnything | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.60%E -3.31%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| ReBet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.60%E -3.31%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.64%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Coolbet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 14:58 |
| BetUS | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Betsson | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Fanatics | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| NordicBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| theScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.97%E -4.36%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.35%E -5.44%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.35%E -5.44%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.35%E -5.44%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.35%E -5.44%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.72%E -6.56%K -26.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.60%E -3.31%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Fliff | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| TAB | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.66%E -3.35%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-21 14:51 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.17%E -0.812%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.17%E -0.812%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Unibet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.17%E -0.812%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.17%E -0.812%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Casumo | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| betPARX | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -1.86%E -1.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Novig | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.45% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.55% | 2.0% | 2026-05-21 14:59 |
| Smarkets | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41% | 2.2% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |