Language:English
Stan Wawrinka v Arthur Fils
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Stan Wawrinka (Local)
Prediction 15.23%6.57fair odd
EV +9.05%
Edge +1.26%
Kelly +1.47%
Growth +0.133%
assuming max odds 7.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.63%15.46%15.19%18.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.006.196.257.1620.00%16.15%16.00%13.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arthur Fils (Visit)
Prediction 84.77%1.18fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -16.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.57%84.54%84.81%86.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.121.121.1592.59%89.26%89.29%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stan Wawrinka (Local): 15.23%; Arthur Fils (Visit): 84.77%. For Stan Wawrinka (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.57. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.05%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.16I 13.97%NM 13.63%EV +9.05%E +1.26%K +1.47%G +0.133% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.37%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-23 14:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +6.61%E +0.944%K +1.10%G +0.073% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV +0.519%E +0.079%K +0.093%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 13:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV +0.519%E +0.079%K +0.093%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV +0.367%E +0.056%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-23 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV +0.367%E +0.056%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-23 14:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.58I 15.20%NM 14.77%EV +0.215%E +0.033%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.23%EV -3.36%E -2.95%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-23 15:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.36%E -2.95%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-23 14:18 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-23 15:32 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -8.45%E -7.82%K -105.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 16:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:51 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:51 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:51 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-22 13:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 14:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-23 15:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-23 15:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -5.57%E -0.899%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-22 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.47%EV -6.79%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.53%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-23 14:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.08I 16.45%NM 15.56%EV -7.40%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.44%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-22 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 06:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 06:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 06:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 22:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 15:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 22:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 11:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 06:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 10:46 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -10.14%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -13.19%E -2.31%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 15:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -13.19%E -2.31%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 14:18 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -14.71%E -2.63%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.51%E -2.19%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 14:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -14.71%E -2.63%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 15:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.23%E -2.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.36%E -2.95%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 14:18 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -16.23%E -2.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 15:48 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -16.23%E -2.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 15:48 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -20.04%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -2.51%E -2.19%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 15:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -23.85%E -4.77%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-23 16:58 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77% | 2.6% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34% | 5.1% | 2026-05-23 15:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34% | 5.1% | 2026-05-23 15:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.73% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 72.27% | 18.3% | 2026-05-23 15:59 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 54.13% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 45.87% | 84.7% | 2026-05-23 16:59 |