La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Stan Wawrinka v Arthur Fils
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Stan Wawrinka (Casa)
Previsione 15.23%6.57quota equa
EV +9.05%
Vantaggio +1.26%
Kelly +1.47%
Crescita +0.133%
ipotizzando la quota massima 7.16
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.63%15.46%15.19%18.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.006.196.257.1620.00%16.15%16.00%13.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Arthur Fils (Trasferta)
Previsione 84.77%1.18quota equa
EV -2.51%
Vantaggio -2.19%
Kelly -16.76%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.15
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
81.57%84.54%84.81%86.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.081.121.121.1592.59%89.26%89.29%86.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 7.16I 13.97%NM 13.63%EV +9.05%E +1.26%K +1.47%G +0.133% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.37%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-23 14:40 |
| Coolbet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +6.61%E +0.944%K +1.10%G +0.073% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| NordicBet | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV +0.519%E +0.079%K +0.093%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 13:20 |
| Betsson | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV +0.519%E +0.079%K +0.093%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV +0.367%E +0.056%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-23 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV +0.367%E +0.056%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-23 14:19 |
| Pinnacle | 6.58I 15.20%NM 14.77%EV +0.215%E +0.033%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.23%EV -3.36%E -2.95%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-23 15:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.36%E -2.95%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-23 14:18 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Betway | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-23 15:32 |
| 888sport | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -8.45%E -7.82%K -105.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 16:50 |
| Casumo | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:51 |
| Unibet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| TABtouch | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:51 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| BetRivers | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| LeoVegas | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Grosvenor | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:51 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Bally Bet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| betPARX | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-22 13:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Bet Right | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Bovada | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 14:19 |
| BetAnything | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-23 15:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-23 15:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -5.57%E -0.899%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-22 22:40 |
| DraftKings | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.47%EV -6.79%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.53%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-23 14:39 |
| GTbets | 6.08I 16.45%NM 15.56%EV -7.40%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.44%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-22 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 06:30 |
| Neds | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 06:30 |
| Coral | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 06:30 |
| Fanatics | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 22:39 |
| Everygame | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 15:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 22:40 |
| BetMGM | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 11:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 06:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Caesars | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 10:46 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -10.14%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -13.19%E -2.31%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 15:59 |
| theScore Bet | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -13.19%E -2.31%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 14:18 |
| FanDuel | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -14.71%E -2.63%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.51%E -2.19%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 14:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -14.71%E -2.63%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 15:50 |
| Paddy Power | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.23%E -2.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.36%E -2.95%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 14:18 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -16.23%E -2.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 15:48 |
| TAB | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -16.23%E -2.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 15:48 |
| PlayUp | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -20.04%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -2.51%E -2.19%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 15:49 |
| Bet Victor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -23.85%E -4.77%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-23 16:58 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77% | 2.6% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34% | 5.1% | 2026-05-23 15:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34% | 5.1% | 2026-05-23 15:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.73% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 72.27% | 18.3% | 2026-05-23 15:59 |
| Novig | 1.00I 100.00%NM 54.13% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 45.87% | 84.7% | 2026-05-23 16:59 |