L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Stan Wawrinka v Arthur Fils
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Stan Wawrinka (Local)
Prévision 15.23%6.57cote équitable
EV +9.05%
Avantage +1.26%
Kelly +1.47%
Croissance +0.133%
avec la cote maximale 7.16
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.63%15.46%15.19%18.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.006.196.257.1620.00%16.15%16.00%13.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Arthur Fils (Visiteur)
Prévision 84.77%1.18cote équitable
EV -2.51%
Avantage -2.19%
Kelly -16.76%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
81.57%84.54%84.81%86.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.081.121.121.1592.59%89.26%89.29%86.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 7.16I 13.97%NM 13.63%EV +9.05%E +1.26%K +1.47%G +0.133% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.37%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-23 14:40 |
| Coolbet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +6.61%E +0.944%K +1.10%G +0.073% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| NordicBet | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV +0.519%E +0.079%K +0.093%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 13:20 |
| Betsson | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV +0.519%E +0.079%K +0.093%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV +0.367%E +0.056%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-23 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV +0.367%E +0.056%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-23 14:19 |
| Pinnacle | 6.58I 15.20%NM 14.77%EV +0.215%E +0.033%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.23%EV -3.36%E -2.95%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-23 15:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.36%E -2.95%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-23 14:18 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Betway | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-23 15:32 |
| 888sport | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -8.45%E -7.82%K -105.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 16:50 |
| Casumo | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:51 |
| Unibet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| TABtouch | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:51 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| BetRivers | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| LeoVegas | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Grosvenor | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:51 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Bally Bet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| betPARX | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-22 13:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Bet Right | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Bovada | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 14:19 |
| BetAnything | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-23 15:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-23 15:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -5.57%E -0.899%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-22 22:40 |
| DraftKings | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.47%EV -6.79%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.53%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-23 14:39 |
| GTbets | 6.08I 16.45%NM 15.56%EV -7.40%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.44%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-22 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 06:30 |
| Neds | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 06:30 |
| Coral | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 06:30 |
| Fanatics | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 22:39 |
| Everygame | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 15:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 22:40 |
| BetMGM | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 11:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 06:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Caesars | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 10:46 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -10.14%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -13.19%E -2.31%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 15:59 |
| theScore Bet | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -13.19%E -2.31%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 14:18 |
| FanDuel | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -14.71%E -2.63%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.51%E -2.19%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 14:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -14.71%E -2.63%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 15:50 |
| Paddy Power | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.23%E -2.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.36%E -2.95%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 14:18 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -16.23%E -2.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 15:48 |
| TAB | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -16.23%E -2.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 15:48 |
| PlayUp | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -20.04%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -2.51%E -2.19%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 15:49 |
| Bet Victor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -23.85%E -4.77%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-23 16:58 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77% | 2.6% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34% | 5.1% | 2026-05-23 15:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34% | 5.1% | 2026-05-23 15:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.73% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 72.27% | 18.3% | 2026-05-23 15:59 |
| Novig | 1.00I 100.00%NM 54.13% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 45.87% | 84.7% | 2026-05-23 16:59 |