A Escola das Odds

Stan Wawrinka v Arthur Fils

Início: 2026-05-25 09:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Stan Wawrinka (Local)

Previsão 15.23%6.57odd justa
EV +9.05%
Vantagem +1.26%
Kelly +1.47%
Crescimento +0.133%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.63%15.46%15.19%18.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.006.196.257.1620.00%16.15%16.00%13.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arthur Fils (Visitante)

Previsão 84.77%1.18odd justa
EV -2.51%
Vantagem -2.19%
Kelly -16.76%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
81.57%84.54%84.81%86.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.081.121.121.1592.59%89.26%89.29%86.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet7.16I 13.97%NM 13.63%EV +9.05%E +1.26%K +1.47%G +0.133%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.37%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-23 14:40
Coolbet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +6.61%E +0.944%K +1.10%G +0.073%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-23 15:29
NordicBet6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV +0.519%E +0.079%K +0.093%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 13:20
Betsson6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV +0.519%E +0.079%K +0.093%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 17:50
BetOnline.ag6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV +0.367%E +0.056%K +0.066%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-23 14:20
LowVig.ag6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV +0.367%E +0.056%K +0.066%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-23 14:19
Pinnacle6.58I 15.20%NM 14.77%EV +0.215%E +0.033%K +0.038%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.23%EV -3.36%E -2.95%K -24.02%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-23 15:09
Winamax (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.36%E -2.95%K -24.02%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 14:18
Hard Rock Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 18:50
Betway6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 15:32
888sport6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 08:30
Mr Green (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 08:30
888sport (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 08:30
NetBet (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -8.45%E -7.82%K -105.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 16:50
Casumo6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:51
Unibet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:50
TABtouch6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:51
Unibet (NL)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:50
ATG (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:50
Svenska Spel6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:50
BetRivers6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:50
LeoVegas6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:50
Grosvenor6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:51
LeoVegas (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:50
Bally Bet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:50
betPARX6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:50
Unibet (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:50
Betclic (FR)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-22 13:29
Marathon Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 14:29
Bet Right6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 15:29
Bovada6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 14:19
BetAnything6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 14:29
Betr (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 15:39
PointsBet (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 15:39
Tipico (DE)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -5.57%E -0.899%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 22:40
DraftKings6.12I 16.34%NM 15.47%EV -6.79%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.53%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 14:39
GTbets6.08I 16.45%NM 15.56%EV -7.40%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.44%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-22 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 06:30
Neds6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 06:30
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 06:30
Fanatics6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 22:39
Everygame6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 15:39
Winamax (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 22:40
BetMGM6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 11:19
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 06:09
PMU (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 14:29
LiveScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 14:29
Virgin Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 14:29
Caesars6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 10:46
Unibet (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -10.14%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 18:50
MyBookie.ag5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -13.19%E -2.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 15:59
theScore Bet5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -13.19%E -2.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 14:18
FanDuel5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -14.71%E -2.63%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.51%E -2.19%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 14:19
Codere (IT)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -14.71%E -2.63%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 15:50
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.23%E -2.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.36%E -2.95%K -24.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 14:18
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -16.23%E -2.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 15:48
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -16.23%E -2.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 15:48
PlayUp5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -20.04%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -2.51%E -2.19%K -16.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 15:49
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -23.85%E -4.77%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 16:58
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%2.6%2026-05-23 14:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%5.1%2026-05-23 15:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%5.1%2026-05-23 15:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 27.73%1.17I 85.47%NM 72.27%18.3%2026-05-23 15:59
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 54.13%1.18I 84.75%NM 45.87%84.7%2026-05-23 16:59