La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Stan Wawrinka v Arthur Fils
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Stan Wawrinka (Local)
Predicción 15.23%6.57momio equitativo
EV +9.05%
Ventaja +1.26%
Kelly +1.47%
Crecimiento +0.133%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.63%15.46%15.19%18.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.006.196.257.1620.00%16.15%16.00%13.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Arthur Fils (Visitante)
Predicción 84.77%1.18momio equitativo
EV -2.51%
Ventaja -2.19%
Kelly -16.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.57%84.54%84.81%86.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.081.121.121.1592.59%89.26%89.29%86.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 7.16I 13.97%NM 13.63%EV +9.05%E +1.26%K +1.47%G +0.133% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.37%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-23 14:40 |
| Coolbet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +6.61%E +0.944%K +1.10%G +0.073% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| NordicBet | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV +0.519%E +0.079%K +0.093%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 13:20 |
| Betsson | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV +0.519%E +0.079%K +0.093%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV +0.367%E +0.056%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-23 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV +0.367%E +0.056%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-23 14:19 |
| Pinnacle | 6.58I 15.20%NM 14.77%EV +0.215%E +0.033%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.23%EV -3.36%E -2.95%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-23 15:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.36%E -2.95%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-23 14:18 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Betway | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-23 15:32 |
| 888sport | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -8.45%E -7.82%K -105.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 16:50 |
| Casumo | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:51 |
| Unibet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| TABtouch | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:51 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| BetRivers | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| LeoVegas | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Grosvenor | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:51 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Bally Bet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| betPARX | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-22 13:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Bet Right | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Bovada | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 14:19 |
| BetAnything | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-23 15:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-23 15:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -5.57%E -0.899%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-22 22:40 |
| DraftKings | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.47%EV -6.79%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.53%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-23 14:39 |
| GTbets | 6.08I 16.45%NM 15.56%EV -7.40%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.44%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-22 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 06:30 |
| Neds | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 06:30 |
| Coral | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 06:30 |
| Fanatics | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 22:39 |
| Everygame | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 15:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 22:40 |
| BetMGM | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 11:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 06:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Caesars | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 10:46 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -10.14%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -13.19%E -2.31%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 15:59 |
| theScore Bet | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -13.19%E -2.31%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 14:18 |
| FanDuel | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -14.71%E -2.63%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.51%E -2.19%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 14:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -14.71%E -2.63%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 15:50 |
| Paddy Power | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.23%E -2.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.36%E -2.95%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 14:18 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -16.23%E -2.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 15:48 |
| TAB | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -16.23%E -2.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 15:48 |
| PlayUp | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -20.04%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -2.51%E -2.19%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 15:49 |
| Bet Victor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -23.85%E -4.77%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-23 16:58 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77% | 2.6% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34% | 5.1% | 2026-05-23 15:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34% | 5.1% | 2026-05-23 15:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.73% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 72.27% | 18.3% | 2026-05-23 15:59 |
| Novig | 1.00I 100.00%NM 54.13% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 45.87% | 84.7% | 2026-05-23 16:59 |